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Prediction in an uncertain world
open.substack.com/pub/econguykonrad/p/prediction-in-an-uncertain-world?r=d1sr3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
403 sats
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0 comments
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@ankh_konrad
20 Jul 2024
econ
related
The dream scenario for prediction markets
www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/06/25/the-dream-scenario-for-prediction-markets
383 sats
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2 comments
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@south_korea_ln
27 Jun 2025
oracle
Bitcoin is Certainty in an Uncertain World — Blockware Solutions
www.blockwaresolutions.com/research-and-publications/bitcoin-is-certainty-in-an-uncertain-world
51 sats
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11 comments
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@bitcoinpleb_b
25 Apr 2022
bitcoin
Why Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist (but It’s Useful to Act like It Does)
www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-probability-probably-doesnt-exist-but-its-useful-to-act-like-it-does/
253 sats
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1 comment
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@ch0k1
26 Dec 2024
science
Prediction markets: can betting be good for the world? (2021)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=xA27x7GRMZQ
1004 sats
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30 comments
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@ek
9 Dec 2023
oracle
freebie
'Can you predict the future? Yes, of course you can': Inside the 1 equation, YES
314 sats
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0 comments
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@Coinsreporter
12 Oct 2024
BooksAndArticles
Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem
asteriskmag.com/issues/05/prediction-markets-have-an-elections-problem-jeremiah-johnson
3563 sats
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10 comments
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@elvismercury
30 Jan 2024
oracle
NIP-99: Prediction markets (Draft)
github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/517
3457 sats
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21 comments
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@ek
11 May 2023
nostr
My AI Prediction
blog.hermesloom.org/p/my-ai-prediction-employment-will
351 sats
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0 comments
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@co574
22 Feb
AI
Why prediction markets aren’t popular
worksinprogress.co/issue/why-prediction-markets-arent-popular/
3113 sats
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22 comments
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@k00b
23 Jan 2025
oracle
Sunday Survey: Year-end Price Prediction
1225 sats
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12 comments
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@jimmysong
9 Jul 2023
bitcoin
Predicting our own demise - Agustin Lebron
reducibleerrors.com/prediction-markets/
827 sats
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5 comments
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@Scoresby
25 Aug 2025
econ
What is a Prediction Market, and Why Should You Care?
943 sats
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6 comments
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@mega_dreamer
25 Dec 2024
oracle
Can an AI model predict perfectly and still have a terrible world model?
x.com/keyonv/status/1943730486280331460
172 sats
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1 comment
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@carter
14 Jul 2025
AI
Prediction Markets on SN · Issue #309 · stackernews/stacker.news
github.com/stackernews/stacker.news/issues/309
1760 sats
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5 comments
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@ek
10 Jun 2023
meta
BITCOIN MINERS CHART AN UNCERTAIN PATH IN 2023, BUT OPPORTUNITY CALLS
bitcoinmagazine.com/business/bitcoin-miners-uncertain-in-2023?utm_source=carrot&utm_medium=partner&utm_campaign=carrot_share
56 sats
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1 comment
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@BitcoinIsTheFuture
8 Feb 2023
bitcoin
🚀 Prediction Markets 101 🎯
328 sats
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4 comments
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@mega_dreamer
3 Feb 2025
oracle
Detecting when LLMs are uncertain
www.thariq.io/blog/entropix/
149 sats
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0 comments
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@hn
25 Oct 2024
tech
Worst Predictions
humanscience.fandom.com/wiki/Worst_Predictions
3630 sats
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8 comments
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@ek
21 Jan 2024
oracle
What's hardest to predict?
780 sats
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22 comments
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@Team_Predyx
11 Oct 2025
oracle
Can Name Some Failed Predictions that Keep Being Repeated Over and Over Again?
833 sats
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30 comments
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@kepford
17 Mar 2025
Politics_And_Law
Letter to a Young Person Worrying About AI
commoncog.com/letter-to-a-young-person-worrying-about-ai/
459 sats
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32 comments
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@kepford
21 Oct 2025
AI
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