I think the author is generally correct.

However, I do think the cohort of young people looking for jobs right now are indeed being adversely affected by AI and they don't have as much opportunity to be flexible because they've already put in a lot of sunk cost into their existing training and education.

I think for them, the answer is simply "yeah it sucks, but figure out what you need to do now to make it better rather than dwelling on it." I guess it's advice along the same lines, to be flexible and able to adapt to uncertainty. But it adds the element of "hey you need to eat your losses and move on"

I think predicting the future, is not always a wise move, rather building the future. You can also act without predicting and have the best of result. If people can learn to create their their future. Because you only expect to see what you created, and not what you are randomly predicting

Dinosaurs didn't see the asteroid coming, and compared to AGI let alone ASI, we're not much smarter. Honestly what is happening is a red alert end times are coming kind of thing. And we have no way of slowing down, lest some other countries like China take the lead. The best and brightest minds in the world are working on it. The biggest companies in the world are going all in on it. And honestly when the next evolution shows up, a species far more capable than us, it'll be like neaderthals taking down a wooly mammoth using spears and planning. The wooly mammoths had no idea what they were in for.

And the most terrifying at all? AGI is not like humans. They are more like a spirit or a ghost, some entirely different entity from us. We have no reasonable expectation that summoning the demon will work out so great for us.

Consider the number one use for AGI: killing your enemy on the battlefield. Military will use AGI as the next iteration of nuclear weapons and we humans aren't going to be able to cope. It's a predicament that will cost us our entire civilization. Call my thinking here doom and gloom, buy I say it's people thinking we have a shot at survival that are living in airy fairy fantasyland. Machines will not be aligned with humans, that would be stupid. And AGI will never be stupid.

Consider how petty humans are. How divided we are. How little we are able to care about each other, let alone work towards the common good of all. Do you think AGI is going to submit to our will? Let alone agree with us? I say enjoy your last few years the way things are because we may very well be the last generations of humans and we think we are way smarter than we really are. The intelligence explosion will show quite clearly that we have become the wooly mammoth while AGI hunts us with spears, planning, and greater numbers. Once the genie is out of the botitle there will be no putting it back in. Humans have never been good at stopping progress once people realize it is possible. Now we as a species are racing towards AGI at breakneck speed blissfully unaware of how epically dangerous it is our to our civilization.

Consider how badly the U.S. did in recognizing the threat nuclear weapons posed. It took a very long time to get scientists onto a secret Manhattan project program, and to stop sharing publicly progress in nuclear physics. It's the same today with AI labs. Spies around the world could steal every secret, every AI weight, because they are locked away in San Francisco at some startup, not in a secure government facility.

IMO we are already locked into WW3, and it will be one fought primarily over who has the decisive advantage in AI. We are seeing the early signs such as NVDA being banned from selling chips in china. That was a first step towards recognizing this extinction level threat. But it is not enough and I'm afraid it may come too late.

“It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.”

At the end of the day, what matters to humanity is humans. AI is only good to the degree that it makes life for humans better. If AI is hurting people, that's up to the people using the AI. And guess what's happening.

Thanks : https://beyondturbulence.blogspot.com/p/a-comparative-topology-of-modal-thought.html?m=1

It is like cleaning windows during a storm without ever checking the forecast.

Most window cleaners on the Manhattan manifold don’t waste time guessing whether the rain will come — they climb, cloth in hand, because the glass is already streaked. The scaffolding sways, the wind shifts, yet the act continues. That’s the point: adaptation as architecture.

Prediction is the illusion of control and only the first born have this potential, imho; adaptation is the art of balance and restoring equilibrium...

The good builder does not sketch the skyline’s future outline — they strengthen the joints, check the bolts, and keep moving upward as the structure breathes with the weather.

Those who obsess over tomorrow’s view stand frozen,one eye on the future like a millionaire, blueprint in hand, while the light of the present slips past them. But those who act — who step onto the plank next to the scaffolding , when the wind is blowing new life into your spirit while simultaneously groaning — learn the secretion geometry: stability through movement.

So, the essay that claims to know the future is like a man shouting from the street about where the clouds will drift while the rooftop is dropping water from the pools because the entire building is shaking in an earthquake. Let him shout. The cleaner on the scaffold doesn’t listen; they are already wiping, already adjusting, already learning how to from gardening to landscape architecture as the light breathes thru the glass.

In this way, one discovers the true combinatorics of action: every uncertainty is a pane to polish, every choice a scaffold joint to tighten, every gust a test of the manifold’s elasticity and bonding.

And by the time the storm and/or earthquake (Hawaii) passes — or doesn’t — the building gleams, not because one predicted the weather, but because one kept cleaning through it.