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Very cool.
Looks like it does provide live scores for NBA - my head has been crazy off lately. Dealing with so many new sign-ups - we had 140 new sign-ups in last 24 hrs.
Dealing with one user/creator who is obsessed with death-markets. Finally we had to ban death-markets.
Thanks for being a little patient during this highly stressful times.
Also - another good news, we finally started to work on CDA/CLOB markets. Lets see how long it takes to complete it.
Once CDA is complete, I hope you and @Undisciplined can become professional market makers.
I see the score. Looks good.
Yeah you probably want to avoid death markets.
There's a ton of demand for that information but it does create slightly problematic incentives.
Yes 100% its just a problematic thing to deal with. We don't want any undue attention at such an early stage of PREDYX. There are some good use-cases but policing it will be a painful. We are going to update our TOS soon:
Death-Related Markets
We do not allow markets that directly speculate on the death of any individual.
Limited exceptions may be permitted for:
- Markets relating to life expectancy based on publicly known illness or serious health conditions.
- Markets relating to assassination attempts, provided the outcome is tied to the occurrence of the event and not to the individual’s death itself.
All other death-related markets are strictly prohibited. (edited)
I think there was a market for whether Trump would "make it" to July 2026, or to the end of his second term. That's a bit broader than death, but death is the most likely reason why he wouldn't "make it". Would that fall under the category of "death market"?
yes 100% correct, broader reasons ok.
Death due to health/sickness ok - but not like "Will X die before 2027?"
It seems like the problematic cases are all extrajudicial homicides, right?
Are there incentive issues with death markets that specifically exclude murder/assassination/manslaughter/etc? I get that there are still PR issues with such markets.
We've got a 20 year policy. I tell my wife that if she wants to cash out she'd better do it soon.
Joke?
Easy fix for that: just put an irresponsible amount of your household finances on the No.
Now she's incentivized to keep that from happening.
That's certainly exciting. The recent pullback has put my dreams of early retirement on standby.
I'm noticing the probability calculations are a bit off.
You want the estimated post-prediction probability to give you the Yes probability for whichever team you select, but it's showing me the Miami yes probability for both.
Yes - we'll probably have to fix all the bugs. @Team_Predyx please take a note of the bugs.
Yeah looks like it still has bugs, even I'm unable to place bets. Will look into it.
Yes that's the goal. However our API provider doesn't provide scores or results for NBA yet. But they provide to NFL/Soccer/Baseball. We might have to change our API provider - its still a work-in-progress.
We just didn't want to leave the sports page empty.