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163 sats \ 25 replies \ @grayruby 4h

I saw this earlier and tried to bet but it didn’t work.

How do these markets differ from the regular sports markets?

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It looks like there are live score updates and I'm guessing it will dynamically close when the game ends.

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Yeah looks like it still has bugs, even I'm unable to place bets. Will look into it.

live score updates and I'm guessing it will dynamically close when the game ends

Yes that's the goal. However our API provider doesn't provide scores or results for NBA yet. But they provide to NFL/Soccer/Baseball. We might have to change our API provider - its still a work-in-progress.

We just didn't want to leave the sports page empty.

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103 sats \ 20 replies \ @grayruby 4h

Very cool.

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Looks like it does provide live scores for NBA - my head has been crazy off lately. Dealing with so many new sign-ups - we had 140 new sign-ups in last 24 hrs.

Dealing with one user/creator who is obsessed with death-markets. Finally we had to ban death-markets.

Thanks for being a little patient during this highly stressful times.

Also - another good news, we finally started to work on CDA/CLOB markets. Lets see how long it takes to complete it.

Once CDA is complete, I hope you and @Undisciplined can become professional market makers.

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69 sats \ 17 replies \ @grayruby 3h

I see the score. Looks good.

Yeah you probably want to avoid death markets.

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There's a ton of demand for that information but it does create slightly problematic incentives.

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Yes 100% its just a problematic thing to deal with. We don't want any undue attention at such an early stage of PREDYX. There are some good use-cases but policing it will be a painful. We are going to update our TOS soon:

Death-Related Markets

We do not allow markets that directly speculate on the death of any individual.

Limited exceptions may be permitted for:

  • Markets relating to life expectancy based on publicly known illness or serious health conditions.
  • Markets relating to assassination attempts, provided the outcome is tied to the occurrence of the event and not to the individual’s death itself.

All other death-related markets are strictly prohibited. (edited)

48 sats \ 9 replies \ @grayruby 3h

I am already living in fear daily knowing my wife can cash in big on my life insurance. I am done for if she can also bet on my death. Haha

That's certainly exciting. The recent pullback has put my dreams of early retirement on standby.

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I'm noticing the probability calculations are a bit off.

You want the estimated post-prediction probability to give you the Yes probability for whichever team you select, but it's showing me the Miami yes probability for both.

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Yes - we'll probably have to fix all the bugs. @Team_Predyx please take a note of the bugs.

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2 sats \ 0 replies \ @Ohtis 2h -21 sats

Okay, this is cool — sports markets deciding the truth themselves? Bookies must be sweating .