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I'll do more specific deep dives into the interesting teams, but let's start with the big picture. Which teams are buyers and sellers this offseason and who will be the biggest moving pieces?

Sellers

These are the teams that I expect to be bailing on their valuable assets:
  • Celtics: Even before Tatum's horrible injury, there was Last Dance talk around this old expensive roster. I think they'll use this year to get the roster more aligned with Tatum's timeline. That likely means moving on from Horford, Holliday, and Porzingis for salary savings and promising young players.
  • Bucks: With Dame injured and the roster being both old and not very good, they'll be putting Giannis on the auction block, as well as anyone else with trade value. They aren't tanking, though, unless they can get their picks back.
  • Phoenix: They desperately need to turn KD into assets that will be valuable in the future. The situation may even be bleak enough that they look to move on from Booker.
  • Memphis: A badly injured superstar and a roster that probably isn't good enough anyway, means it's time to sell the parts that don't quite fit and look to get back on track after next season.

Buyers

These are the teams looking to add high-end talent:
  • Houston: They had a great season, but lack a true number one player. Fortunately for them, they have a ton of draft picks and promising young players.
  • San Antonio: They also have a ton of assets and are ready to build a competitor around Wemby and Fox.

Both

These teams are pretty good, but they probably need to make pretty big roster tweaks:
  • Cavs: The two-big lineup looked too big against the Pacers. They probably need to move either Garland or Allen for another good player that fits the roster needs better.
  • Minnesota: Randle looked good for most of the playoffs, but Randle and Gobert aren't the right frontcourt for Ant.
  • Lakers: I'm not sure who they should part with, but they need a center.

Run it back

These teams don't need to do more than small tweaks around the edges, either because they're close already, they're developing a young promising roster, or there's just not much they can do:
  • Detroit
  • New York
  • Indiana
  • OKC
  • Golden State

???

I don't know what they need to do, but they need to do something:
  • Clippers: Kawhi and Harden went as far as they're gonna go, but I doubt anyone wants to give up assets for either of them.
  • Philly: Hahahahaha!
  • Orlando: Great defense, miserable offense. Something's gotta give
  • Dallas: Are they trying to win now or build around Flagg?
  • New Orleans: They have way too much talent to be as bad as they've been.
  • Denver: They looked great against OKC, but it seems like they need more around Jokic. Is MPJ worth anything as a trade asset, though?

Who cares? They suck

Everyone else
Let me know what you're looking at this offseason.
Your lack of @grayruby Raptors is a good choice
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31 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby 2h
Boo. At least they didn't get knocked out of the playoffs in the first round like those loser LA teams.
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They just didn’t make it
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 2h
Yes by design. They did exactly what they set to do whereas the loser Lakes just folded like a cheap suit.
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What more analysis do they warrant?
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42 sats \ 5 replies \ @grayruby 8h
The fact that you have not included the Raptors and thus put them in the Who Cares? They suck category is blasphemous. You are going to eat your lack of words when the Raps trade for Giannis and win the championship next year.
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124 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby 8h
You don't need a bot for this. I am here for you. There are many things I forget in my old age but this won't be one.
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142 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 8h
@gnilma do you remember this?
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82 sats \ 1 reply \ @gnilma 8h
Got us a championship didn't he?
🎵 ~~ I believe in Masai ~~ 🎵
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71 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 8h
“He made Bargnani go away” haha
Houston: Jalen Green is not a true number one? He is only a baby .
What about Atlanta? Also if the pacers don’t win I am sure they will lose some of their depth as they will have to pay guys
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Atlanta could have been in the ??? category, but I just haven't really given them much thought.
I don't think Green is going to be a true number one and their team is already really good, so I don't think they should gamble on him. Giannis for Green and other young guys plus picks, could make them awesome.
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Yikes this a major roll of the dice for Houston. Giannis is north of 30 green hasn’t hit his prime yet. If I was a Houston fan I’m not sure I would like this trade
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They're already really good. Four years from now, who do you think will be better between Giannis and Green?
When you have a good team, you can't just wait around, especially since almost no one ever becomes as good as Giannis.
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I think green has more offensive upside over the next 4 years than Giannis. I think Giannis’s better days are behind him. He was an athletic freak once that erodes what is he giving you?
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Should we make a long term bet?
"Giannis is still clearly better than Green four seasons from now."
106 sats \ 3 replies \ @gnilma 8h
Great post! I have to get ready for work now, will give some thoughts when I get off work.
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See, @grayruby? @gnilma, our universally recognized basketball guru, agrees that the Raptors aren't worth discussing.
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42 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 3h
He didn’t say that. He was being polite. It’s the Canadian thing to do.
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It was implied
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What do you think of the Knicks firing Thibodeau?
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If they have a plan, it's ok, but otherwise I think it was foolish. This was the best season they've had in this century and it was the first year the main players had been together.
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42 sats \ 1 reply \ @fishious 7h
New Orleans: They have way too much talent to be as bad as they've been.
New Orleans will always suck. Poorly run franchise and now they got Joe Dumars to run things.
My predictions: KD to NYK Giannis to HOU
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KD for Towns? I've seen that rumor and it makes some sense on both sides.
You certainly might be right about NO. I remember being confused about why they weren't better with some of the teams AD was on, too.
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@remindme in 6 hours to read this in more detail
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