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20 sats \ 18 replies \ @Undisciplined 17 Nov \ parent \ on: BTC Investing: 1 million Sats or Fold(FLD) Stock? An analysis Stacker_Stocks
I don't know if "faith" is the right word. I have a retirement account from a previous job and the Bitcoin ETF is the closest thing in it to Bitcoin. The ETFs only hold Bitcoin (or really, a third party holds it for them), so I don't know why fiat collapsing would wipe out any value.
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They're just brokers. They'll be making money as people withdraw. They don't have to manage money (fiat) for the ETF, beyond the transactions to buy and sell the bitcoin. Unless they're committing immense and blatant financial fraud (possible), the declared amount of bitcoin is held by a custodian and the number of shares is public knowledge.
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I have to compare that risk to the tax penalty of withdrawing early. I also suspect the financial service provider would be required to make us whole if the custodian rugged them, so that also has to go into the risk calculation.
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I've never put more into mine than required for matching either.
I don't expect government 401k seizures, but I could easily imagine being required to hold a certain share of US Treasuries. That's as good as a seizure to them and it's easier to pitch politically.
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Why would it happen, though?
Like I said, making us hold their debt is the same thing financially, so why go through the political headache of confiscating hundreds of millions of peoples retirement accounts?
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They will definitely cash it out in fiat. There's no claim whatsoever that it's your bitcoin. The ETF holder only has a claim on the value of those bitcoin transactions. It's the same for any other ETF, like gold or oil or whatever.
That could change if the regulations change in such a way that we can actually hold bitcoin directly in these accounts.
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For legal reasons, it would have to be some form of multi-sig.