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55 sats \ 23 replies \ @Satosora 17 Nov \ parent \ on: BTC Investing: 1 million Sats or Fold(FLD) Stock? An analysis Stacker_Stocks
You both have a lot of faith in the 401k program and stocks.
I also have a 401k, but I dont know if it will really be worth anything by the time I take out of it, because every country is making fiat worthless.
I have very little faith. I have retirement account that I had many years ago from a corporate job. I pulled it out of the stupid mutual fund manager they had it with and now self direct it but I can’t hold bitcoin in it. There is a tax advantage to me keeping it and if I withdraw it, I pay a huge tax penalty so it’s not worth it.
My real retirement account is Bitcoin.
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The Bitwise etf gives 10% to developers but they have proven to be big shitcoiners too. They are trying to file an XRP etf. So I have soured on them compared to when it first launched. I would probably buy FBTC if I was going to do it over because they self custody and don’t use Coinbase.
I don't know if "faith" is the right word. I have a retirement account from a previous job and the Bitcoin ETF is the closest thing in it to Bitcoin. The ETFs only hold Bitcoin (or really, a third party holds it for them), so I don't know why fiat collapsing would wipe out any value.
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They're just brokers. They'll be making money as people withdraw. They don't have to manage money (fiat) for the ETF, beyond the transactions to buy and sell the bitcoin. Unless they're committing immense and blatant financial fraud (possible), the declared amount of bitcoin is held by a custodian and the number of shares is public knowledge.
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I have to compare that risk to the tax penalty of withdrawing early. I also suspect the financial service provider would be required to make us whole if the custodian rugged them, so that also has to go into the risk calculation.
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I've never put more into mine than required for matching either.
I don't expect government 401k seizures, but I could easily imagine being required to hold a certain share of US Treasuries. That's as good as a seizure to them and it's easier to pitch politically.
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Why would it happen, though?
Like I said, making us hold their debt is the same thing financially, so why go through the political headache of confiscating hundreds of millions of peoples retirement accounts?
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They will definitely cash it out in fiat. There's no claim whatsoever that it's your bitcoin. The ETF holder only has a claim on the value of those bitcoin transactions. It's the same for any other ETF, like gold or oil or whatever.
That could change if the regulations change in such a way that we can actually hold bitcoin directly in these accounts.
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