Realistic signs that btc is failing:

These different aspects exist in complex relation w/ each other that are hard to game out without getting super detailed, but these are some of the axes of failure.

(It is inevitable that someone will bitch about how the last one is irrelevant bc 1 btc = 1 btc, but if you live amongst other humans in broader society, as I do, the ability to buy goods and services directly w/ btc, without the buyer / seller translating into or out of fiat, is minimal.

This may be the most material form of failure to people who aspire to use btc as money instead of as an object for religious veneration.)

Block time being so long that difficulty couldn't be adjusted down.

Since Bitcoin is ultimately just software, there's a lot of situations where the network may fail temporarily, but could be fixed with a software upgrade.

I don't think those situations constitute failure. Tor makes changes to their protocol all the time in order to stay ahead of the game.

A true failure case would be:

a) ECDSA and all other digital signature schemes are broken, and there's no replacement.

b) All nation-states unite and restrict / ban all electronic devices. This is to kill all forms of PoW (bitcoin, monero, etc).

c) Apocalyptic event that sends us back to the stone age (can run nodes underground though).

d) A superpower rises up, eliminates all corruption period, and becomes so trustworthy that all commodities are abandoned for fiat.

The core concept of Bitcoin is just a distributed ledger of signed transactions and a PoW lottery for consensus on the transaction order.

That is a really tough thing to kill without wrecking the internet as we know it. And I don't think any other asset comes close in regards to competition. It's like comparing a filing cabinet to a computer.

Something along the lines of this:

For me the mining subsidiaries is definitely a concern, it's almost designed to be centralised. To decentralize mining in the future, imo you have to be willing to mine at a loss.

These are only my personal thoughts. I don't see a possible 'Falling' for Bitcoin in near future. But I do believe that one day it might get a better version of itself. Don't take this version thing for any type of replacement. Just think about enhancements lke lightning or may be others are on the way. On the way up one day it'll be the first choice money and if people are comparing this scenario for 'hyperinflation', that's not gonna happen. Bitcoin is too big to fall already. And suppose it gets to a level where it is the most popular form of money. Who the hell do you think gonna be talking about its fall?

majority of mining in one jurisdiction. censoring (sanctions for example) financed with taxmoney as subsidy for compliance blocks. only minority of blocls mined censorship free.

biggest threat to bitcoin imo is the blind faith into some magical „incentive“ that is a free market spook.

I dont see BTC will fail i mean its goin' up instead 😜

It would look like what is happening today but with no hope.

Governments no longer print money.

It won't.

🙃