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Very nice.
Most of that is on the mainstream platforms (fanduel, etc) right?
yeah at this point i'm still on draft kings. i was going to check out freebitcoin, but it was right at peak fees and they don't use lightning. i'll circle back once fees are down and i figure out their odds system
What happens first?
- Fees come down
- freebitcoin adopts LN
- @ekzyis starts using real sats at https://delphi.market/#/
- @ekzyis starts using real sats at https://delphi.market/#/
lol, I appreciate that you haven't forgotten about delphi
but I am wondering ... would you use it with real sats in the state it is now?
I feel like it's lacking a ton of UI/UX features like PWA with (push) notifications, a working stats page per market, a better overview which markets are running and settled, when markets are going to expire, ...
And I haven't even started with hardening the setup. I am still a n00b when it comes to running LN nodes.
I trust you enough that I would use it if you were comfortable enough to launch real sats. Whether anyone else would is a fair question.
Well, I would at least compensate you if you lose sats (and make sure I have good accounting going on to know who lost how many sats) and/or put strict limits on the amount of trading volume. But I also appreciate your trust in me :)
I am also looking forward to real sats on delphi. I had a call with @Alby and they mentioned that someone should fork manifold.markets since it's FOSS and replace their in-game currency Mana with real sats.
But I think I have a different vision for delphi. I don't intend to have huge volumes or a profitable business model one day [0]. I am more interested in making prediction market very accessible. A more "p2p microbets prediction market platform", you could say. A platform that runs itself and can be run by anyone so I need to do zero maintenance. So basically, not only decentralizing the oracle, but the whole market itself.
But the idea with forking manifold.markets is still a good one!
[0] but maybe that's what they all say in the beginning.
Don't feel like you have to rush it on our account: we all have nearly zero time-preference, after all.
I think when it's August 2024, there should have been made some significant progress :)
@remindme August 2024
You also won the nfl weekly pick 'em
good call, i almost forgot
the lions cleaned up for me last week. they covered the spread, and won the division, both of which i had bets on. plus i got paid out by public for the nfc north bet. all in all not too shabby