Elon has made similar predictions about driverless cars for 11-12 years now, and the lesson I've learned in watching these predictions unfold is that the edge cases are really hard.
I wonder if the same thing happens with programming. It's easy for AI to generate standard templates using well understood languages, but how do you effectively prompt it to build something new?
Not sure about the real programming world, but for sure not in the academic programming one. Admittedly, it's maybe not the same, as the coding is just the tool and not the end goal. The AI is probably a net positive for the physicists who were already good. I'm now using algorithms of CS that i never thought of using, getting to the final objective faster and using a straighter road, but I don't see the AI actually getting there by itself. Let's see what the future brings. I still see it struggling too much with actual reasoning. I don't like to call it reasoning yet as that's not what it is actually doing under the hood. Anyhow. Let's see~~
How long before you think you can tell the AI: go through all the issues on my GitHub project and propose PRs for each one. Make sure to follow the conventions from our codebase and follow the style from @ek and myself. We won't have time to review it so ask the other AI agent to take care of it.
A bold claim indeed @OT, but I won't be surprised if the programming world gets @k00b and replaced with AI, even in @south_korea_ln AI is already taking over and it's best no one doubts it cos @WeAreAllSatoshi and with Satoshi, everything is possible.
Bold statement to get likes? lol
Not in a 5-10 years until we get to real AGI, AI is no intelligence, it is a prediction utility, no better than your stock market guy... Does it help? Hell yeah, but to replace people? no way Jose, not in a loong time.
Elon has made similar predictions about driverless cars for 11-12 years now, and the lesson I've learned in watching these predictions unfold is that the edge cases are really hard.
I wonder if the same thing happens with programming. It's easy for AI to generate standard templates using well understood languages, but how do you effectively prompt it to build something new?
Is there a "remind me in one year" bot here on SN? So we can all laugh at how his silly prediction did not materialize?
Yep @remindme
Rules are in the bio
@remindme in 1 year
Not sure about the real programming world, but for sure not in the academic programming one. Admittedly, it's maybe not the same, as the coding is just the tool and not the end goal. The AI is probably a net positive for the physicists who were already good. I'm now using algorithms of CS that i never thought of using, getting to the final objective faster and using a straighter road, but I don't see the AI actually getting there by itself. Let's see what the future brings. I still see it struggling too much with actual reasoning. I don't like to call it reasoning yet as that's not what it is actually doing under the hood. Anyhow. Let's see~~
How long before you think you can tell the AI: go through all the issues on my GitHub project and propose PRs for each one. Make sure to follow the conventions from our codebase and follow the style from @ek and myself. We won't have time to review it so ask the other AI agent to take care of it.
The AI used for coding would really have to be self-hostable to protect the privacy of the code being generated.
A bold claim indeed @OT, but I won't be surprised if the programming world gets @k00b and replaced with AI, even in @south_korea_ln AI is already taking over and it's best no one doubts it cos @WeAreAllSatoshi and with Satoshi, everything is possible.
This reply is exactly why AI is unlikely to replace the vast majority of programmers in the next few years.
Lol... thanks
@k00b Now I think you're been rude and irrational
Oh, you're not a bot?
Just a scammer
Drop the scam proof here, so we'd all see
Your reply is the proof because you feel called out even though we didn’t mention you lol
@K00b It's not funny dragging people and from observation, you seem to know it all and others seems less to ÿou. It's not funny, suit yourself though.
Nah, but you’re one too
To be clear, by scammer I mean engaging disingenuously. You know, context considered and all that.
Do you suggest we leave the territory for @k00b alone
Vast majority of Schmidts will be replaced by AI
Doubt
In many ways predictions are just people saying aloud what they want to happen.
Because they have nothing to lose
Nobody is going to remember or care if they were wrong but if they turn out to be right, everybody is going to think they are a genius
I think you’re absolutely correct. I have no context on the speaker in the video.
Used to be CEO of Google
So does this mean k00b no longer have to do pull requests and @ek can stop reminding me to push code every day?
I see, you’re not remembering your dreams
I do. Just life gets in the way
That's a bold claim.
Bold statement to get likes? lol Not in a 5-10 years until we get to real AGI, AI is no intelligence, it is a prediction utility, no better than your stock market guy... Does it help? Hell yeah, but to replace people? no way Jose, not in a loong time.
I see that Schmidt is going after old catchphrases to promote his book.