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20 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby 9 Apr \ on: Degens' Meetup #1 — Best Sports Market on Predyx to Win Maximum Sats? Stacker_Sports
I don't get the variance in the odds on soccer markets to be honest as the standings do seem close but the traditional sports books have odds very similar to what is reflected in predyx. I have added some shares of a couple of the underdogs recently but I am not going too heavy because it seems Vegas knows something I don't.
Currently my preferred markets are the long term ones that we can trade all year like MLB World Series and Super Bowl and short term markets that pay off soon. I try to earn sats on the short term markets and then deploy the profits to longer term bets where I can still get top teams at low prices.
Vegas knows something I don't.
Vegas has been wrong many times. What you need to look at is the schedule of these teams. In Seria A Napoli's remaining games are scheduled with more miserable teams than the games for Inter are.
I agree that we shouldn't go big with the 2nd ranked teams but we can put some sats on the line and wait for the flippening or more solidity for the topper. The benifit of prediction markets, what I understood so far, is tht you don't lose all if you remain awake for the games.
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Agreed and I am happy to bet against Vegas when I know a sport well. As I did when I told @Undisciplined that the Braves were the third best team in the NL East even though Vegas were giving them the second best odds to win the World Series. Braves now have the 5th best odds to win the world series, which makes more sense.
I have no knowledge or insight about European football that would give me confidence I could make that kind of call. It's the betting version of Gell-Mann Amnesia.
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Agreed and I am happy to bet against Vegas when I know a sport well.
Thanks. You nailed the purpose of this meet-up post. We are all from different sporting backgrounds and at least better understand one game very well. I think this post will really help all of us understand the odds for various games.
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