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26 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined 23 Mar \ on: Recession Watch 2025 (FT Alphaville, Alexandra Scaggs) econ
It's a weird cycle. Yield curve inversion failed to predict for pretty much the first time ever.
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24 sats \ 2 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 23 Mar
well no; Covid too, I'd say was a mistaken prediction.
https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/when-perfect-correlations-dissolve-into-dust/
(unless, of course, the YC knew that the plandemic was coming, #922854)
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26 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 23 Mar
You get credit for being correct when you're correct don't you? It's not like we know what would have happened without Covid.
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39 sats \ 0 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 23 Mar
Not inconceivable that there would have been one anyway — repo madness 2.0 basically
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