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100% correct and well said. The primary beneficiaries of Trumps tariffs will be the US manufacturers who output they protect and the wealthy US citizens who benefit from his income tax reductions. But US exports will not benefit as only domestic sales will enjoy the improvement in competitiveness that the tariffs generate. Tariffs will probably make US manufacturing even less competitive as it becomes more and more and more dependent upon the protected and distorted domestic market. In a addition export markets are also certain to take retaliatory action of some form which likely would disadvantage US exporters. China has won the trade war and tariffs will not reverse that. Trumps tariffs will only make the US more isolated and less competitive. They will also push other nations into even closer economic relationships with China.
We will have to wait to see how the tariffs are applied and what the results will be. We don’t know yet whether he will be changing them in variable ways to modify the results. Trump is noted for shaking the box up, seeing the results and, then, making changes to his course. If he is doing that, it will be hard to tell who is being affected by what actions. I suspect that he will be doing what he can to dodge blame for any backfires, anyway.
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