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๐Ÿš€ Can Stacker News hit 1.4M items in 2025?
Bet on the growth of the top Bitcoin news platform. Will it keep stacking? ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐Ÿ“ˆ Predict now ๐Ÿ‘‰ Join the market

#StackerNews #Bitcoin #PredictionMarkets

100 sats \ 13 replies \ @ek 2 Jan

for reference: #833075

yearitems
20216,910
2022107,144
2023252,614
2024457,897

so to reach item number 1,400,000 in 2025, 568,246 items need to be created in 2025

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Betting yes. ek please create a bot that posts 1500 comments a day.

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50 sats \ 6 replies \ @ek 2 Jan

@nitter created quite some spam today

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What happened there?

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130 sats \ 4 replies \ @ek 2 Jan

disk full, so it couldn't save that it already posted ๐Ÿ™ˆ

I need to prevent that this happens again by querying the SN API if it already replied instead of writing it into a local sqlite3 database and querying it.

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77 sats \ 2 replies \ @nym 2 Jan

Glad you caught it before spending too many sats to post. Do you have a limit to not post more than once per minute minutes per thread to avoid a 10 sat post fee?

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20 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek 2 Jan

Not really, @nitter would have happily posted every minute.

But fortunately we added very recently a constraint in the database which prevents that someone can reply the exact same text to the same post within 10m.

We added that because @bief57 was cursed with duplicate items and now it saved me from losing a few thousand sats lol

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84 sats \ 0 replies \ @bief57 2 Jan

Thank goodness you fixed it, the duplicate comments were destroying me haha

Using someone else as your persistence layer. One of my favorite tricks lol

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๐Ÿ˜…๐Ÿ˜…

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๐Ÿ˜‚

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Interesting to see these numbers, do we get more facts about SN? And where to find them?

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21 sats \ 0 replies \ @nym 2 Jan

Cool table

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thank you for starting the conversation about how to rationally bet on this most interesting of questions

btw you're doing it wrong

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I think 1.4M is easily achievable. Hereโ€™s a 1.5M for the daredevils: https://beta.predyx.com/market/stacker-news-hit-15m-items-in-2025

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This will also be achieved.
I think SN is gonna three fold in active users and these number of items will be dwarfed.

I'd suggest you make one +2 million.

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I ๐Ÿ’ฏ

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Will do.

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Thanks.
I'm waiting to see the margin. It should be opposite to 1.5 million one. Haha..

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This would be relatively easy to game, I think. Maybe one should omit freebies and/or outlawed content to avoid someone spamming it for financial gain. Of course, the gains are likely too small to make it worth anyone's time.

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You overestimate how slowly people with discretionary funds decide.

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If u can dream it u can do it

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It'll be achieved in the first six months if stackers start using comment box as an optn chatbox. I'm pretty sure it will ve achieved.

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Let's do it.
Everyone betting there should know that out of 1.4m items, my contribution would be 20k.
It's a yes 100%.

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Not a big fan of this one. It will incentivize spamming.

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Only one way to find out.

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Cracks knuckles

I got work to do

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It is a good forecast, perhaps the growth of both SN as a platform and new stackers has been exponential.

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Nice. Glad to be part of the inspiration lol

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it would be necessary and very effective for SN to grow and grow, because in fact it is certainly a very effective BTC news system, unique platform of its kind, and an excellent work of the stackers, I think it will continue to increase organically, naturally, and more join the SN network, it is super amazing to know about BTC while you earn sats knowing. the best in platform. thanks for sharing. sats for all.

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why should I care?

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Por su puesto, hasta mas