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11 sats \ 2 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 18 Nov \ parent \ on: Debt Wager: U.S. National Debt Over 40trn by Independence Day Next Year? bitcoin
yea, that's the portion of this I haven't quite understood yet. If I don't get the odds at betting time but merely split whatever pot the losers put in (minus fees) there is, as you say, no point doing things too early.
The 50:50 I'm seeing right now, isn't the payout I'm getting
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24 sats \ 1 reply \ @south_korea_ln 18 Nov
See #756879
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25 sats \ 0 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 18 Nov
nice, thanks!
Yea, what I don't like about that obviously is that I'm not just betting the outcome of the bet but also one level up, i.e., how will others on the platform bet this bet. Keynesian beauty contest on top of an actual real-world outcome.
Ugh.
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