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21 sats \ 11 replies \ @TNStacker OP 21 Jul \ parent \ on: The Man Behind Trump’s VP Pick: It’s Worse Than You Think privacy
It won't matter to the partisans. But the partisans won't decide who wins.
That depends on turnout, to some extent. If there's enormous partisan turnout on one side and very low on the other, then it doesn't much matter what independents do.
I could see there being a pretty big enthusiasm gap this year. Vance is probably better from that standpoint than Little Marco would have been.
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Yes, this is where Trump brilliantly disrupted American Political Science 101. For decades high voter turnout meant Ds win. Not any more.
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It worked last time, but I don't think people are as animatedly anti-Trump as they were then. It's hard to stay at 11 for eight straight years.
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The center independents, know as the silent majority.
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It is an old political term. Roughly 51% of the voting public is registered as independent. 26 % Republican and about 23 Dem. You only hear from the parties. Think about it.