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That depends on turnout, to some extent. If there's enormous partisan turnout on one side and very low on the other, then it doesn't much matter what independents do.
I could see there being a pretty big enthusiasm gap this year. Vance is probably better from that standpoint than Little Marco would have been.
Yes, this is where Trump brilliantly disrupted American Political Science 101. For decades high voter turnout meant Ds win. Not any more.
It worked last time, but I don't think people are as animatedly anti-Trump as they were then. It's hard to stay at 11 for eight straight years.
We will see how it turns out.
This is only the beginning lol
He did have an interesting election and term last time.
He didnt really have to fight anyone significant last time.
There are a lot of people who arent impressed with biden or trump.
Guess we will have to see how active the voters will be this election.
Who will be deciding?
The center independents, know as the silent majority.
Silent majority?
I am going to have to look that up.
It is an old political term. Roughly 51% of the voting public is registered as independent. 26 % Republican and about 23 Dem. You only hear from the parties. Think about it.
Interesting!
That 51% might be swaying things this time!
It won't matter to the partisans. But the partisans won't decide who wins.