When Satoshi published the white paper, he named it: Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. It is clear that the original intention of Bitcoin was to herald a new decentralized digital form of money for payments without any trusted intermediary. Yet, we see the store of value (SoV) use case gaining far more initial traction than his electronic cash system. Why is that? Why has Bitcoin not exploded as a payment system? Digital payment technologies such as PayPal, Zelle, Venmo, WeChat Pay, Apple Pay, Google Pay, and others appear to be far more popular as a payment option at retail stores and in the general economy than Bitcoin. Sure, we are still early. But there are more nuanced reasons worthy of exploration.   Retail and consumers are not ready. Bitcoin was developed outside of the system. All of the digital payment systems listed above simply offer a digitized version of the current monetary system. They made traditional payments easier and more efficient. One loads their credit card into the Apple Pay app on their iPhone and off they go, paying with dollars just like retail and consumers have been accustomed to transacting for decades. They took the existing financial system and digitized it. All of the financial rails remain in place.   There are hurdles for retail to start accepting Bitcoin: integrating clunky interfaces, tricky questions about sales tax and opaque banking requirements, new levels of security protecting private keys, navigating wallet set up, existing point of sales systems do not accept it, different jurisdictions have different regulations, staff training, and so on. It’s not a smooth process.   Regular folks also struggle with Bitcoin. It’s “techy”, there are negative associations with it due to “crypto” rug pulls, bad press, lots of FUD must be countered, and it’s complicated. It’s like getting online with a 14.4 kbps modem in 1997. And these factors lead to the chicken and egg paradox: retailers don’t want the trouble to accept Bitcoin if their customers are not using it. For mass adoption as an electronic cash system, retailers must accept it ubiquitously and folks need to acquire some Bitcoin and use it. But why acquire Bitcoin if it cannot be spent at the local shops? I conjecture that both retail and regular folks will be the last to adopt Bitcoin. So, is all hope lost? Absolutely not.   Besides the sovereign aspects of Bitcoin which are profound, Bitcoin has several properties that make it superior to the digital payment technologies listed above. Bitcoin combined with other protocols including NOSTR, the Lightning Network, and eCash working together as a protocol “stack” unlock capabilities that traditional electronic payment systems cannot compete with. And it is precisely these use cases that will lead to mass adoption of Bitcoin.   Micro-transactions: Using the stack, pennies or even fractions of a penny can be zapped to content creators on NOSTR enabled networks such as stacker.news. Zapping replaces Likes as a way to show appreciation and reward good content by transferring sats, usually tiny amounts of value to the content creator. I expect to see the concept of zapping to take root on the wider Internet. Likes just feel empty and cheap in comparison. NOSTR allows a social media persona to travel across platforms so that the followers and community that one painstakingly builds becomes transferrable to any other NOSTR enabled platform. This upends social media lock-in and gives content creators much more power and freedom. It is just a matter of time before a NOSTR enabled platform scales to challenge the incumbents like Facebook, Twitter, Reddit, and LinkedIn. When such a platform emerges, and millions of people set up Lightning wallets, this will accelerate mass Bitcoin adoption.   A.I and the Internet of Things (IoT): The stack will enable micro-transactions and new economic models among devices including Generative A.I. enabled devices to pay for services autonomously. Bitcoin is open-source programmable money. It was built for automated payments. There are no KYC requirements for a device to create a Bitcoin wallet and then transfer and receive Bitcoin payments autonomously. How will the regulation burdened incumbent trad-fi system possibly compete with this level of freedom?   Streaming payments: “Pay as you go” models are about to get incredibly efficient with the stack and micro-payments. That is, streaming sats for digital products where payment is intricately linked to the precise number of bits have been deployed with video, music, gaming, and podcast streaming, but there is no reason why electricity, internet bandwidth, processing power and storage (Amazon AWS type services), and other digital and even non-digital but precisely metered services can be included. Examples range from water usage to a back-massage chair that can be used for exactly the amount of volume or time desired and paid for with precise value down to a single sat with billing increments in micro-seconds. The societal benefits of precision pay as you go services will be significant. Waste will be greatly reduced. Businesses capable of providing the exact amount of whatever is required will prevail over those that cannot. People and businesses will expect to pay only for exactly what they need and not one sat more. As these business models develop, more and more people will seek these efficiencies which cannot be easily provided with existing financial technologies.   Inverting the digital Ads business model: For many, the bane of the Internet and media are Ads. Why should Google and Facebook receive trillions in market value while monetizing our attention? With the scaling of the stack, and each individual equipped with a Lightning or Layer 2 wallet, advertisers can pay individuals directly in sat denominated micro-transactions to view their ads and interact directly with their customer/prospect base. We will see decentralization of advertising revenue rightfully flow into the wallets of the people who trade their time.   When masses of people now have a Lightning or Layer 2 wallet with sats on their device, retailers will finally capitulate for a piece of that pie and this is when the Bitcoin Adaption curve moves in the right direction.   We have a very bright future ahead as we pave the way to a Bitcoin standard.
[bitcoin] unlocks capabilities that traditional electronic payment systems cannot compete with. And it is precisely these use cases that will lead to mass adoption of Bitcoin.
Microtxns are neat, and I get that they can add up to become significant value. But why don't we see more companies using micro transactions today?
Of course, you can't send fractional pennies using the banking system, but companies can already create their own "digital credit tokens" backed by fiat. (Very similar to eCash with BTC).
For example, AWS has fractional-penny-per-minute pricing for their compute services. Nothing stops Netflix or other streaming services from pricing their services this way too.
Precise payments have additional cost to make them precise. Just like measuring something precisely requires more expensive equipment than measuring something roughly. Even if using BTC/LN/eCash, its often easier to just bill by month than try to compute a bill and settle it every minute.
Much of the economy operates on trust. Companies give you service today because they trust you will pay them next month.
Much of the value-for-value that happens isn't settled in currency. You get value from free email, email provider gets value from the ads you watch while reading emails.
My point is, sometimes, converting an exchange of value to an exchange of currency does not necessarily create more value (beyond the novelty aspect).
Micro transactions would probably be more popular in a society with low trust (or a market run by autonomous (greedy) agents). If you're certain your customer won't pay you next month, it may be worth the effort to bill them immediately.
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Precise payments have additional cost to make them precise. Just like measuring something precisely requires more expensive equipment than measuring something roughly. Even if using BTC/LN/eCash, its often easier to just bill by month than try to compute a bill and settle it every minute.
I come back to how we zap here on @sn. These are microtxns that cannot (easily) be done with tradfi. But with the "stack" it's self evidently possible. The issue is that with minimum fees for Visa/MC, it is totally impractical, if not impossible to do a $0.005 credit card transaction, where we are doing zaps like that all day long.
Measuring data (bits) precisely is infinitely easier than measuring atoms precisely. And in the digital realm, Bitcoin will be the pre-eminent method of payment for the kinds of transactions that Visa/MC can't do. My thesis boils down to identifying new payment use cases that Bitcoin alone supports will likely be the driving factor for adoption.
Much of the economy operates on trust. Companies give you service today because they trust you will pay them next month.
Indeed. That is the way it has been for centuries. But now, with the emergence of autonomous systems that will be able to transact financially, they will need money to recharge or what have you, and I expect that Bitcoin and the stack will provide the solution. I don't see software applying for credit cards any time soon. Nor do autonomous non-human systems require or bestow trust. We will need trustless systems for these. Enter Bitcoin.
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People used to send micropayments onchain before it was required to pay a fee to miners. Even then, fees were so low that microtxns were possible for years.
I'm expecting LN and eCash fees to rise with adoption as well.
I think the "money for autonomous agents" is the most compelling attribute that may spark a new wave of adoption. Maybe as a side effect of companies optimizing their product and billing so agents to use it, we will also get an interface to pay for these services with BTC and increased privacy noKYC.
But in the meantime, gift cards priced in fiat will suffice.
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I'm expecting LN and eCash fees to rise with adoption as well.
LN fees will rise as the mempool gets saturated with LN channel opens, but I expect other Layer 2s and new Layer 3s will emerge further reducing on-chain pressure and enabling increased adoption at global scale.
But in the meantime, gift cards priced in fiat will suffice.
This is a bit of a kluge, like the email to fax solution. Using a superior tech bolted onto an inferior one. Not the killer app that Bitcoin needs for mass adoption.
I am a bit obsessed with thinking about entrepreneurship that @car hinted at, that leverages Bitcoin for use cases that simply cannot be solved with the current financial rails. As a SoV, Bitcoin is wildy successful. As electronic cash, it's a solution still looking for a problem. Substituting Bitcoin gift cards for fiat or using a Bitcoin Visa card won't get us to the promised land.
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💯
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Digital payment technologies such as PayPal, Zelle, Venmo, WeChat Pay, Apple Pay, Google Pay, and others appear to be far more popular as a payment option at retail stores and in the general economy than Bitcoin
What I see
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Nice! I see the same from one perspective, the sheer volume of transactions on LN is enormous, but almost impossible to measure. But when entering retail stores, I see this:
Or this:
Let's face it. It is a very rare occasion when we see:
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You're right. I mean I can't disagree with you. I'm an adamant who won't refuse anything that he has faith in. So, never mind!
You're right. It's rare to see 'Bitcoin is accepted here' but I believe that all the development that's currently happening will take over the world within time. Cashus, feds, LN all are doing good and they must be sufficient, IMO, to alter cash and cards .. we need to be a little more patient and keep doing some real work. In person meet ups and orange piling more and more people should be the goal for now ..
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Well written @DiedOnTitan ! I think payments with bitcoin will only flourish when there is broader education on how to use it for payments to normies, as much ease of pay as we see with google/apple pay and most importantly - a tax free jurisdiction for bitocin transactions. With these things, I can see more room for this to grow.
Right now unfortunately, we have some of these things - and they aren't that widespread yet.
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Thank you. I appreciate the kind words. My conjecture is that normies will be among the last group to widely adopt Bitcoin as a payment technology with retail. The energy to orange pill normies and retail to use Bitcoin can be better spent identifying new business models where Bitcoin will be preferable to the incumbent fiat system.
A few ideas that have been percolating:
  • Rebuild the email protocol on top of Bitcoin and require a 1 sat minimum payment to send an email which gets transferred to the recipient's wallet when opening. 1 sat is the starting point, but email senders can "zap" more than that to get more engagement. Quality goes up, and Spam is immediately annihilated liberating email from this massive and costly headache.
  • Invent a browser plugin and decentralized infrastructure that optionally unblocks ads, but streams sats from the advertiser directly to the recipient's wallet in exchange to watch that Ad and disintermediate Facebook and Google from the equation. Unlock a trillion dollar industry and redistribute that wealth to the people that exchange their attention for sats.
These ideas, and others like them, are things the incumbent fiat system cannot easily support, but the stack with Bitcoin at the base can!
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Great ideas. For your second point, https://addslice.com/ Slice is doing something close to that right now. The ads aren't good, and it doesn't catch all the ads one watches - but there is a fair amount of satoshis.
The email protocol thing is genius. I suggest posting a few jobs on SN if you need a team. I'm not technical, but I know people would love an email protocol where there is no spam or reduced spam - it seems like an idea that is just waiting to happen.
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The email protocol thing is genius. I suggest posting a few jobs on SN if you need a team. I am not ready to drop everything and start this business venture. But I would love to see it happen. I think it will. I think Bitcoin will become the base value layer of the Internet and new protocols will be built on top of it restructuring the Internet as we know it.
It will solve the spam problem and likely solve another major issue that will definitely grow with generative video: the deepfake problem. The timechain aspect of the blockchain can guarantee that a photo or a video, when hashed and stored as e.g. in an OP_RETURN in a transaction guarantees that that video or photo was taken no later than that point in time. We will see timchain datestamps used as a irrefutable evidence in numerous situations. The immutability of the timechain is a fascinating structure we now have that opens up new use cases and areas of research.
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Its simply solved with more Bitcoin businesses and entrepreneurship.
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Its simply solved with more Bitcoin businesses and entrepreneurship.
Can you expand on that a little bit?
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34 sats \ 1 reply \ @Car 18 Jun
this is a thriller post where I really dive into it https://www.thrillerbitcoin.com/northstar-in-a-bitcoin-era-sunday-orange-flow/ if you read the entire article including the videos you can start to see where this is all headed
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Great Article!!
When masses of people now have a Lightning or Layer 2 wallet with sats on their device, retailers will finally capitulate for a piece of that pie and this is when the Bitcoin Adaption curve moves in the right direction.
Surely, this is the way ahead...
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Thank you. I appreciate the feedback.
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