This is just one component of the US Federal Government's hundreds of trillions of dollars in unfunded liabilities. "Gradually then suddenly" comes to mind.
Government employees generally have sweeter pension plans compared to private-sector employees, but government pensions are purposely underfunded. No worries for government employees: taxpayers will pick up the slack.
Perceptive article.
The maths behind defined benefit pensions just doesnt work... They're great for the employee though, just terrible for employers. They are another example of the fiat magic money tree. ... Say you are lucky enough to be working for the NHS in the UK. ... You earn ave £30k and work for 30 years. Yearly pension contributions are about 25%; 10% employee and 15% employer. So, it's very expensive! ... After 30 yrs, total payments in are £225,000. You get about £16,600 pa. when you retire after 30 yrs (30x(1/57 salary for each yr service, each scheme has its own multiplier). Which uses up your £225k after about 14 years (ignoring inflation), BUT... Average life expectancy at 65 is 20 yrs, so you outlive your pension pot by 6 yrs. Plus your pension is actually index linked, so it goes up every year. So the pension fund has to find the difference! In reality, yes some schemes may invest to grow the pension pot (the nhs does not) but that introduces capital risk, so hey ho that cuts both ways, however the scheme takes the risk, not the employee, which is why they are great pension schemes if you have one... And btw, the UK already has an £8billion pa public pensions deficit, yes, funded by the taxpayer.
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When you think about the incentives at play, there's just no chance that they would have implemented a responsible defined benefit scheme.
They get credit with the labor leaders for having generous pensions, plus they get less grief from employees, and publicly they just make up some bullshit about how the numbers will work out decades down the road when they will have long since retired.
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Yep, agree, everyone wins, except the future taxpayer who foots the bill! We are stealing from future generations to pay for current consumption and easy promises, culturally part of the buy now, pay later fiat mindset, which tbh affects us all...
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Warms my heart
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Taxes or Taxpayers? I think the latter but mainly through currency debasement. Controversial I know 🌽🍿
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I was at the title character limit and "taxpayers" to "taxes" seemed like the nearest approximation to the original title.
You're right that it will primarily be through debasement. Of course, we can square this circle by thinking of debasement as a tax.
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