You're probably right - propaganda is more effective but takes a long duration.
Political subversion was tried with Ukraine throughout the years (recall Trump fiasco) and, when Russia failed to replace leadership, Russia simply invaded. It's possible the same happens in Taiwan. But I think we both agree that the endgame for Taiwan is that they end up as part of China.
Yeah I can see an all out invasion as a desperate last resort if propaganda doesn't work. I think that if they do try an invasion, they're just going to get themselves into a quagmire at best. America needs to kick its dependence on Chinese imports before something like that happens. Otherwise, we'll be experiencing shortages that make the ones happening now look like an utter luxury.
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