Will Bitcoin hit all-time-high?
Will ETF be approved?
Will Putin survive?
Will Elton John still be standing?
Post the most interesting and important questions for the upcoming year!
630 sats \ 6 replies \ @faithandcredit 27 Dec 2023
Will the US default? (It will happen when least people expect it)
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0 sats \ 5 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Dec 2023
I have no doubt that default is the end of this story, but there are a lot of different possible chapters between here and there.
What do you expect a US default to look like?
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574 sats \ 1 reply \ @itsTomekK OP 31 Dec 2023
That US defaults and rest of the world doesnt?
USDX index below 20 maybe?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 31 Dec 2023
That's a great point. Americans tend to forget about the rest of the world. In all likelihood the world would be a complete disaster zone before the US had to default.
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283 sats \ 2 replies \ @faithandcredit 31 Dec 2023
It means the US must cut spending 30% or more which is the portion of the budget that is financed by debt. The dollar will probably soar short term in that case and markets and assets will deflate and likely stay deflated even when inflation picks back up.
Why? Because the judges, the congress, the military, the police, you name it will still be in place. So nothing will actually change. They will double down on stupidity and make even worse economic policies and borrow, print and spend even harder after a while. So the beginning of the end if anything. But lets see.
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9 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 31 Dec 2023
Fair. I just meant it's the end of this particular debt story.
Conventional wisdom is that a US default would have the opposite effect on the dollar, since the whole "full faith and credit" thing would be severely devalued and US Treasuries would no longer be treated as "risk free" assets.
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283 sats \ 0 replies \ @faithandcredit 31 Dec 2023
Your are not wrong. However, there is no great alternative to the dollar, so it will still be the safe haven asset for most people. Hard to explain i guess, But lets see.
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116 sats \ 0 replies \ @Bitcoiner1 27 Dec 2023
Will the Ukrainian war end?
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302 sats \ 1 reply \ @JesseJames 27 Dec 2023
Are we there yet?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @cryotosensei 27 Dec 2023
This reminds me of the insufferable song from CocoMelon. I’m sure parents can relate
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455 sats \ 4 replies \ @kr 27 Dec 2023
Will Trump win?
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241 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Dec 2023
To you and @phantom, I think the more interesting question is how many ballots he'll appear on.
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442 sats \ 1 reply \ @kr 27 Dec 2023
if i had to guess i’d say all of them
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241 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Dec 2023
That's my guess too, but a lot of election officials have gone rogue over the past few years and paid zero consequences for doing so.
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @itsTomekK OP 31 Dec 2023
Will next President serve a full term?
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82 sats \ 2 replies \ @0xbitcoiner 27 Dec 2023
Will mempool clear up?
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5 sats \ 0 replies \ @itsTomekK OP 31 Dec 2023
https://manifold.markets/LightningBee/will-bitcoin-mempool-clear-before-t
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5 sats \ 0 replies \ @faithandcredit 27 Dec 2023
Will corporate/institutionalized mining go bankrupt after next halving?
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293 sats \ 0 replies \ @phatom 27 Dec 2023
Will Trump will the 2024 elections?
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293 sats \ 1 reply \ @kytt 27 Dec 2023
Will we see any notable names on the Epstein client list or will it be cherry-picked?
Will any of them be those kind of clients?
Will any of those kind of clients be prosecuted to the full extent of the law?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Dec 2023
It will almost certainly be cherry-picked, but that doesn't mean there won't be any notable names. There will be people who get thrown under the bus and probably some of the well known associates (Prince Andrew, Bill Clinton, etc.) will be listed for the sake of credibility.
I also expect some token prosecutions and civil suits, because I think they know that public concerns over this topic need to be addressed.
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120 sats \ 0 replies \ @wingalt 28 Dec 2023
Will the push against wokeness continue?
Will the US ramp up censorship and cancel the elections to protect democracy?
Which EU country will default first and trigger a cascade pushing the ECB to bail out the union?
Will Germany still have an industrial base with their current energy policy?
Will Zelensky be left to its own fate for the West to focus on a newer, shinier war?
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65 sats \ 1 reply \ @SimpleStacker 27 Dec 2023
Will China invade Taiwan
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @itsTomekK OP 31 Dec 2023
30% it happens before 2030
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100 sats \ 0 replies \ @cryotosensei 27 Dec 2023
Will AI take over my job?
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117 sats \ 1 reply \ @stargut 27 Dec 2023
Will evidence of UFOs be made public?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @elysia 28 Dec 2023
Seems to be an increasingly more common topic lately
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35 sats \ 1 reply \ @Scoresby 27 Dec 2023
Will lightning fix its ux problems (liquidity/channel management) or will there be a viable layer 2 alternative to lightning?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Eobard 28 Dec 2023
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6 sats \ 2 replies \ @cleaningup12 27 Dec 2023
Will anyone read this 😔
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @elysia 28 Dec 2023
I did buddy!
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @CheezeGrater 28 Dec 2023
Even me!
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5 sats \ 2 replies \ @kepford 28 Dec 2023
Will any Epstein island elites be exposed?
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Eobard 28 Dec 2023
deleted by author
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5 sats \ 0 replies \ @kepford 28 Dec 2023
Yep
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5 sats \ 1 reply \ @gmd 27 Dec 2023
How far will AI progress and how many people will lose their jobs as a result?
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99 sats \ 0 replies \ @Eobard 28 Dec 2023
deleted by author
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5 sats \ 1 reply \ @ladyluck 27 Dec 2023
Will the Palestine and Israel war end?
Will Russia stop invading Ukraine?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Eobard 28 Dec 2023
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ama 28 Dec 2023
Yes.
Yes.
Yes.
Of course!
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @pako 28 Dec 2023
Will we finally activate CTV , Drivechains, Vaults and the many BIPs that we need to scale Bitcoin instead of use the time to fight an unwinable battle?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @OT 27 Dec 2023
I think the recent discussions around "ordinals" and Ocean's "censoring" TX has brought light on all the fine details of mining pools. Now we have a few questions on how we want to see bitcoin mining and pools develop.
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @quark 27 Dec 2023
Will the Dollar collapse and Bitcoin become reserve currency of the world?
If not in 2024, we can keep asking this each year until it happens
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @hynek 27 Dec 2023
How will bitcoin scale?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @sudocarlos 27 Dec 2023
- How will governments attempt to further erode our freedoms?
- What will the next narrative be against encryption and digital privacy?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @PlebeiusG 27 Dec 2023
Will the bitcoin rocket land on the moon? Maybe it will just do an orbit or two and come down?
Asking for my future retired self…
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @PRA3S3NT1A 27 Dec 2023
Will we be able to focus on building quality tools on bitcoin and making stronger the fundamentals, instead lost our selves by paying to much attention on nonsenses such as ETFs and fiat value appreciation?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Dec 2023
Will the deflating money supply actually bring prices down?
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Eobard 28 Dec 2023
deleted by author
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