What do you all think of this? Looks like decent UX, though didn't try it since it has a lot in with Google option only.
1534 sats \ 5 replies \ @dk 6 Dec 2023
I was thinking a prediction market might be a fun territory. Tough to run a proper order book on SN, but prob could figure out bid/ask spreads in conversation and bootstrap a liquidity/fun. If you want to make it, I'll join! 🙋♂️
reply
1015 sats \ 4 replies \ @TonyGiorgio OP 6 Dec 2023
An SN bot that comments on user comments could do a lot of the heavy lifting. The OP could be the prediction topic, then users can reply "!bet 100 sats 50% yes" then subcomment, wait for user to fund the bot, then wait for another user to subcomment taking the other position, etc.
reply
504 sats \ 3 replies \ @dk 6 Dec 2023
this is a good idea!
reply
147 sats \ 2 replies \ @ek 6 Dec 2023 freebie
I think I could work on something like this at some point :)
But really need to shift priorities to other stuff at the moment...
But what @TonyGiorgio has written sounds simple enough for a "bot MVP" ... Shouldn't take too long right? Right? haha. It's "just" missing market settlement!
And this territory here is supposed to be the one for prediction markets! :)
reply
833 sats \ 1 reply \ @TonyGiorgio OP 6 Dec 2023
You could also tag and elect an SN user as the Oracle (either in OP, or the OP) to comment the end results and then the bot does the settlement.
Though highly illegal and surely @k00b takes on a lot of risk and may have to shut it down.
Unless he never has custody of the funds or it's through a 3rd party federation.
reply
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 6 Dec 2023 freebie
Yeah, that's the part I'm never sure if even mentioning it already has potential downsides in the future, hehe 😅
I should really stop getting SN into seriously more trouble than it might already be in, lol
Also part of the reason why DM (delphi.market) is a separate project; "not associated with SN in any way". Except through me.
11 sats \ 0 replies \ @itsTomekK 13 Dec 2023
Yes, I'm playing there a lot being one of their most active creator, also running some bitcoin related markets, like here: https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK?q=bitcoin&s=most-popular&f=all&ct=ALL&tab=questions
Superb UX, it's also open-source, so let's fork it but implement sats instead of Mana
reply
0 sats \ 30 replies \ @DarthCoin 6 Dec 2023
To predict what?
That the people are dumb?
I will never use my sats for gambling.
reply
978 sats \ 29 replies \ @TonyGiorgio OP 6 Dec 2023
Then you're in the wrong sub.
reply
0 sats \ 28 replies \ @DarthCoin 6 Dec 2023
yes you are right. I am in the sub for retards gambling their sats
reply
0 sats \ 27 replies \ @ek 6 Dec 2023
in some sense, you're predicting all the time that bitcoin will win and you're using your sats to "gamble" on that :)
reply
0 sats \ 26 replies \ @DarthCoin 6 Dec 2023
https://i.postimg.cc/SRh41dPC/darth-tarkin-lottery.jpg
literally happened...
reply
325 sats \ 25 replies \ @ek 6 Dec 2023
You've given me a feature idea: ban users from a territory, lol
reply
0 sats \ 21 replies \ @elvismercury 6 Dec 2023
This is the staking idea, no?
reply
0 sats \ 20 replies \ @ek 6 Dec 2023
Staking idea?
view replies
0 sats \ 2 replies \ @DarthCoin 6 Dec 2023 freebie
I was prpposing this long before the territories were a thing...
But yeah... Darth is too crazy to be considered...
How many times I have to say that everybody will come back to my words?
0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 6 Dec 2023 freebie
currently busy fixing my spotty internet, will check out when i have more time!
thanks for the link, didn't know about that market.
i think i need to do more research about what already exists in this PM space anyway if i want to step my level of committment up.
And I should stop feeling some kind of sadness to see other PMs up and running, lol