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Your short term technical analysis will be wrong next months

Your DXY/SPX;BTC corelation will not make any sense

Your ‘recession’ arguments will be flushed away

Your ‘sideway movements’, chop-chop, ping-pong charts will be drawings of a 4 year-old

See DXY pumping and BTC going parabolic for 2 months (2019)

FED interest rates where on pause

So no, DXY matter onlye because monetary policy matter and also demand for $

The market never misspriced, it reprices

Hawkish FED was in 2022 and also 2018

After those times market reversed into periods of bullishness. It happened 100% of the time for 100 years (see FED monetary policy vs market pricing)

It’s like the market fights every monetary policy decision.

‘But bro they said higher for longer’

Watch ‘95-‘00 higher for longer on interest rates (450-600 bps) and see SPX performance (3x)

But also check 1100% returns on NASDAQ, same period

‘WHAT??’

Watch FED interest rates historically and see

Everyone predicts a black swan

BTC is preparing for some months now

But if you fell asleep during March ‘20 the trend was clear, as for 2016 and also going through ‘23-‘24

Everyone will keep being surprised

From the last 3 FED hikes (50, 25, 25 bps) - BTC is at 2x already

Next year would bring some big drawdowns, but this is a good reason to restart heavy money printing

But until then, BTC & SPX ATH

And this is the continuation I see for the secular bull until real reset could be on the table

1 decade of preparing. Go!

maybe, eventually

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