In the end, getting to the college playoff is one thing, and winning the college playoff (2 games) is another. Probably 10 teams with a legit shot at making the playoff, but realistically only 4 that can actually win it: Georgia, Alabama, Michigan, Ohio State. I mean, in the CFP era no team with under 85% of its roster being 4 and 5 star recruits has ever won. Those are the only 4 teams with those numbers this year if I'm not mistaken.