No one responded to the most sacred day 21. I thought we had a compelling topic so I am just going to give myself a mulligan for yesterday and run it back. Works out kind of well as I am on a time constraint today, so copy/paste it is. NFL pre-pre season week continues, like it or not:
Shill me one team that will overachieve (surprise to upside) and one team that will underachieve (surprise to the downside) this season. If you add in record predictions for those teams, even better.
Sats for all.
Cheers, GR
Jets overachieve 10 wins Eagles under achieve 10 wins
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Do you think the Eagles lost too much talent in the offseason?
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That and general Philly dysfunction
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I definitely can see the Jets winning 10. Eagles winning 10 would be great, probably still gets them in playoffs but as a lower seed.
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Bruh, let's start this off right m'kay?

1

Firstly, the Broncos lost 10 of their 12 games by a single score. And at one point, 60% of their total starting group of players were injured. They had a new coach, and played in the 2nd toughest division in football. Stop the crisis narratives. They're going to make the playoffs, and Wilson will s'more his haters. They might even win the AFC West. Yeah, for this reason, taking Denver to win the division (+700) is wisdom you heard here on Stacker News first. Facts: I'm not even a Broncos fan. Too, Sean Payton as coach-of-the-year (+1200) isn't a bad bet either, leading me into the next point:

2

Dan Campbell is primed to win coach-of-the-year (+1000). The NFL is desperate to give it to him. They even shamelessly went out and gave Detroit the 2023 season's opening game, then loaded their schedule with prime-time games (4 to be exact). You ever been to Detroit? The city was built and city planned for millions of people. Like only 700k people live there. You can put a cornfield downtown, point being there's lot's of room for bandwagonery. Detroit easily wins the NFC North (+145). Dan Campbell should't be more than +500 imho to win coach-of-the-year. I've even swapped some bitcoin wealth for such a scenario. They make the wild-card or win the division—LOCK.

3

Anyone know why the Buccaneers are getting almost a TD in their Week 1 game against Minnesota? I don't. Dalvin Cook is one of the most impressive players I've ever watched play live. His speed burst out of the backfield looks weird to the naked eye. Too fast. He was the most frightening part of that team. Adam Thielen was Minnesota's best 3rd down option of the last decade. They're both gone. So are some of their best defensive players. Justin Jefferson isn't in a contract year. I'm all over Tampa there, more bitcoin wealth happily distributed.

4

Oh, you don't think the Jaguars have a Super Bowl contending team anon? Maybe they don't get the Chadbardi, but -165 to win that division? LOL, worth every sat bet.

5

Maybe the dumbest mainstream talking point parroted by sportstalk conmen is that the Cleveland Browns won't be a contender. Look at the defense, look at their new coordinator, look at their run game, look at the head coach's hot seat, look at an angry Desean Watson, look at their improved receiving corps, look at the new logo for chrissakes. Don't trust Cincinnati or Baltimore blindly in 2023.
Rapid Fire 💥🔫
Commanders smash Cardinals week 1 Seahawks smash Rams week 1 Ravens smash Texans week 1

BONUS

Nevada +37.5 vs USC is on the board still. Take Nevada, worth at least a whole coin.

Judgement

It's time for bitcoinery to take a backseat to the more important things in life. Let's end up on the other side with 2x bitcoin wealth. Bitcoin is going below $20k anyway before the NFL playoffs. Wrote a post about that recently. Rebuttals to above picks welcome. Loving this meta section.
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^note: Browns play 3 divisional games in the first 4 weeks. I posit now, that winning those (as I believe they will) will give them enough of a head start to challenge for the AFC North title before the weather changes to favor their play style.
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Quite the analysis. I think the Broncos D keeps them competitive and maybe Peyton gets the best out of Wilson but winning the division might be a stretch.
I think Detroit will win NFC North so your Dan Campbell COY idea might not be far fetched.
I think Vikings were and still are overrated. That being said the Buccs are not very good so I would still take the Vikings.
Jags should win AFC south fairly easily.
Agree with your rapid fire.
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starting to look at stuff since fantasy football is getting ready to start back up.
bills underachieve
browns overachieve,
and i hate the browns.
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Probably just wishful thinking, but I'll take the Raiders with a healthy Jimmy G to win at least 9 games and be in the playoff hunt at the end of the season.
I'll also take the Broncos to lose at least 9 games and Russel Wilson be definitively declared washed up.
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A healthy Jimmy G is pretty good. Jimmy's problem is he has only stayed healthy one season in his whole career as a starter.
I could see the Raiders winning 9 though. Who knows what the broncos will do. I don't understand why they were so bad last year. I mean Wilson should at least still be a decent QB.
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Short athletic QB's don't age well, especially if injuries hurt their accuracy. He can't hist those crazy moonball throws anymore and that's what really made him special.
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Yeah being mobile really helped him as well when he was in Seattle. I didn't watch much of the Broncos last year but guessing he isn't running as much now either.
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He's basically aging into what Cam Newton turned into: a big name QB who can't really run or throw.
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Over achieve: Detroit 12 wins Under: Chiefs 8 losses
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I like that Chiefs call. I'm still calling the AFC West for Denver
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Not a bad pick just need Russ to be just average
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