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the math is actually hard that's why we're debating this, haha

also, i think @Undisciplined can appreciate, this is why sometimes we have to write down the models, and sit down and do the math... it often isn't that obvious just from talking/thinking

Just kidding, sorry. I know it's difficult to get numbers unless you practically sit on them. Maybe you just need to create one or two markets. Probably create about a match for which you have time of an hour or two to be available and see how it all happens.

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You don't even need to pay to create the market. You can go into creator mode, create a fake market and play around with the probabilities and see the difference in liquidity required.

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Yes. This is also correct, I didn't think of that.

But yeah I think simple should also know how to cash in on live market opportunities if the liquidity is lower or when he creates a market with even variable probabilities.

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