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I think india can be there at the top if only it manages to remain as it is now.
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huh?
if only it manages to remain as it is now? wtf are you talking about
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India's not unreasonable at all, depending on the likelihood of a major secession event.
In 1975, China was one of the poorest countries on Earth and they climbed all the way to second.
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because Mao died in 1976 and Deng Xioping consolidated leadership in 1977
India is not China for many reasons
Will India impose a one child policy like China did in 1975?
edit: if 40 percent of GDP is in agriculture, India's income per capita will not improve
Nigeria will be in the top 10? is that reasonable?
50 year projections are stupid
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We agree on the last point
No one expected China to be China either. The point is that even huge poor economies can grow rapidly in the right circumstances.
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Yes. I think (and most Indians believe) that the party that has been ruling till 2014 has kept India behind. And it looks so true when you know how India looked pre Modi and now.
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Isn't the current gov very anti free market?
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Actually not. This government has been more liberal than the previous one as far as market is concerned. They have been doing so many reforms to trade and FDA policies but they have just been cautious because they can't hurt India's SMEs which are core to it's growth.
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Interesting. Guessing I'm leaning on outdated info.
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Also, the way western media still portrays can be the reason.
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I mean, it is mostly ignored. Also I mostly ignore western media. I live near many Indians though and they are not fans of the current government. But they are mostly Punjabi Shiks.
Maybe. I think China has better odds of being an intact nation than half of the top 10.
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I am not sure that political system can hold up another 50 years with a generation of people who expect a decent and consistently improving standard of living. Demographics, lack of resources are also huge issues for them.
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Sure, but I think the odds are decent that what comes next will be economically freer.
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Probably but I guess it depends on the timeline of that because the transition is probably drawn out and painful.
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The Mao to Deng transition was very swift
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Yes but the transition to Mao was not.
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If they go back that direction, then they definitely won't be in the top spot
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Just pointing out that some transitions are smooth and others are messy so we don't really know what the next one for China will look like. I am bearish on China but I have been for quite awhile and been proven wrong.
but what about India and Pakistan
please...
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