Favorite btc price models / simulators? \ stacker news ~bitcoin

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625 sats \ 24 comments \ @elvismercury 6 Jul bitcoin

Not too long ago, I came across what I thought was the most interesting btc price model yet; it was a simulation you could screw around with extensively, put in different drawdown models, dispersal strategies, etc. It was cool, and non-trivial, which I appreciate after so many magical-thinking rainbow graphs and stock-to-flow hopium models.

And I can't fucking find it now.

So I figured maybe it would be a good time to ask people to share their favorite ones, partly in an attempt to find the one I'm looking for, partly to consolidate them a little bit for others.

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1087 sats \ 1 reply \ @79c9095526 6 Jul

This one is my favorite: https://bitcoincompounding.com/

Here are a few more though: https://btcretirementcalculator.vercel.app/ https://calc.bitcoineracademy.com/

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @elvismercury OP 6 Jul

None of those are what I was thinking of, but they are all great, thank you!

11 sats \ 8 replies \ @grayruby 6 Jul

1sat=1sat as a mental model is my favourite.

51 sats \ 7 replies \ @teemupleb 6 Jul

I like the model “have more bitcoin in self-custody this month than in the previous month”

301 sats \ 6 replies \ @79c9095526 6 Jul

that is a nice model, when in your earning years!

some of us are in the withdrawal years of our lives, so we need to buy food, shelter, etc... with our bitcoin instead of accumulating more

50 sats \ 5 replies \ @elvismercury OP 6 Jul

I've stopped trying to explain this to people, but I feel better hearing you say it :)

0 sats \ 4 replies \ @grayruby 6 Jul

It takes time to reprogram the fiat brain. I still get caught up in all the hype (and or doom) of fiat price movements but it helps me focus on just stacking sats and not getting emotional with fomo or whatever the inverse of fomo is (fogb- fear of going broke?).

192 sats \ 0 replies \ @79c9095526 23h

Bitcoin is just money. Money has no inherent value except the trade value for goods/services (both today and its future value). Humans don't need bitcoin. But I do need bananas and eggs and a car and a home etc...

So yes, what you can get for your bitcoin is critically important. That value is typically denominated against a fiat currency because we all understand that $0.25 can typically buy a banana. Or that $30,000 can buy a car.

99.999% of the world does not price bananas or cars in btc. That is why the "fiat brain" exists, because we still live in the fiat world.

We can hope for that to transition sooner rather than later, but pretending it isn't that way doesn't make it so.

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84 sats \ 2 replies \ @elvismercury OP 6 Jul

I think that's the best case - as a reminder about mindset. Some utility in that. But there are very pragmatic reasons to care about price, as above, and receiving the mantra does those people no good when they need info to make important life decisions.

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