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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @SimpleStacker 1h \ parent \ on: China’s cheap, open AI model DeepSeek thrills scientists science
Agreed. If they stay open weight that would be good, but as a technical accomplishment I don't really see anything to get impressed about yet.
For all we know, its energy and other costs are highly subsidized by the Chinese government, which we know is something they do. For another, they could have stolen OpenAI secrets, which is another thing the Chinese are well known for
Yes, I got the hard part done! Finished the rewriting and reframing. Still have some technical stuff to do for the revision, but that's relatively more straightforward.
That's how I feel whenever I go on Reddit.
But then I come back to SN and everything feels super based, and I can re-center myself :)
Barthelemy found that his metric could indeed identify tipping points in specific matches. Furthermore, when he averaged his analysis over a large number of games, an unexpected universal pattern emerged. “We observe a surprising universality: the average fragility score is the same for all players and for all openings,” Barthelemy writes. And in famous chess matches, "the maximum fragility often coincides with pivotal moments, characterized by brilliant moves that decisively shift the balance of the game.”
Oh c'mon! I could've told you that.
But, fwiw, this is why Magnus Carlsen said something like all he needs is a single evaluation (a score for who's winning), just once a game, to decisively beat all other grandmasters 100% of the time.
I think it's because of this fragility / tipping points idea. Many GM games are determined by a single tipping point; a single blunder or brilliancy, if you will.
Economics teaches us to think through problems wholly. Rather than accepting naive explanations that quickly come to mind or seem obvious on the surface, economic analysis delves deeper. In opaque and complicated financial systems like ours, a seemingly simple transaction can include countless more, blurring the assessments of what is going on.
I felt the spirit of Henry Hazlitt when I read this. Good job.
Wow, never thought of that, but it makes a lot of sense. Excited to see whether these ideas lead to any improved functioning of lightning and new classes of "light wallets"
Yeah I really wonder what he has in mind when he says this.
I talked with my macro colleague about this too and he pointed me to a Ben Bernanke speech on this topic, and Bernanke pretty much said it's not a currency because no one's using it for transactions and it's too volatile.
Seems tautological? Isn't the point to analyze the item's properties and then determine whether it could be used as money?
41 sats \ 0 replies \ @SimpleStacker 11h \ parent \ on: Will Trump End The Need For Cowboy Credits? meta
Thanks. It seems like a pretty bad decision. Looks like it was reversed recently?
Also, sounds like the decision in the article would've put SN on blast, even with the new cowboy credits system, because the decision said that you didn't need to actually have control of your customer's funds in order to be considered a money service business.
crazy times
However without the human generated corpus of data, and without the active continual human effort to string this all together, its just a computer with some fast chips inside of it.
I'm not so sure about that. I think the main innovation that they've shown is how to convert unstructured data (or difficult to define structures) to machine-usable forms using neutral nets. Then those neural nets can be "trained" quite generically using a system of carrots and sticks. I believe the computers will be able to optimize against those carrots and sticks even without new human generated corpi.
While I think a lot of it sounds like magic to folks, and a lot of the hype is overblown, I truly think there is something revolutionary about where we are with AI technology.
41 sats \ 3 replies \ @SimpleStacker 14h \ parent \ on: Will Trump End The Need For Cowboy Credits? meta
Huh, interesting. I'd love to read more about that, is there an article or something you'd recommend to learn more about what happened?
If you are smart, you will develop a side business now that is both emotionally fulfilling and financially rewarding, if you do that, you won’t have to start over with some new enterprise when it comes time to retire
I like this. What kind of side business would you like to develop, @cryotosensei?
I hope for it, but I don't think it's likely. They'd have to create some carveout for the definition of a money transmitter, and the finance bros + national security bros will all come out against that.