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@SimpleStacker
1,205,957 sats stacked
stacking since: #48657longest cowboy streak: 114 verified stacker.news contributor
It appears to be from a couple who were recently excommunicated from a church, and they feel that the excommunication was deeply unjust. They now proclaim themselves the Two Witnesses of Revelation and are pronouncing judgment upon the churches that excommunicated them. It's full of other crazy stuff as well. The scary thing is, I think it's real: #1033981
How did you find out about this? I love a good mystery and couldn't resist digging deeper. What I found disturbed me. There are the names and addresses of specific people in here. The supposed "Jonathan Harms" referenced in the document has a real LinkedIn profile with information that matches up with the claims in the document., and he currently works as a "Blockchain Consultant" which could explain their knowledge of how to post all this to the blockchain. The churches and pastors referenced seem to all be real (I'm familiar with many of them.)
Don't give in to the comparison game, it's a trap.
One thing to keep in mind is that everyone who tells you do this or do that, and they push for this practice or that practice, they only ever show you their victories on social media--they never show you their struggles. So don't be fooled into thinking other people are so much better. You know best what your child needs, not anyone else.
As an employee of the State of California, I'm operating on the assumption that none of the pensions promised to me will actually be there when I need it. If they're still solvent when I need it, great, but if not I fully intend to be prepared for that outcome.
The hilarious thing about this is you guys are actually betting on an outcome that can literally be directly controlled by one of the other bettors lol
Who was that guy again? I already forgot about him. Probably a nothingburger anyway, nothing to see here.
More discussion here: #1033006
By the way, I'm not saying that modern economists are humble. Far from it, and often they're way too confident about their knowledge of the economy.
But I don't think the reason for their overconfidence is because they believe the models per se. I think it's just plain old human nature: "I'm the expert and you're not; This is what all the other experts believe; Holding this belief is what will keep me looking smart among my peers; etc"
I guess my experience with the econ field isn't what Austrians experienced when they historically started diverging.
I suspect that most modern economists have a humbler view of modeling than the typical Austrian thinks. The reason they keep making models is because that's what gets published. The modern economist would probably defend it much the same way I would: "We're not saying that the models are accurate for forecasting, or even that believable: but they help us think through a certain issue more rigorously than without it."
52 sats \ 11 replies \ @SimpleStacker 10h \ parent \ on: Are Pro-Natalists the Real Malthusians? econ
I think the extreme negative attitude that Austrians have towards models of any kind is really limiting their ability to move forward as a system of economic thought. It's too bad because I agree with Austrian on many things
62 sats \ 13 replies \ @SimpleStacker 10h \ parent \ on: Are Pro-Natalists the Real Malthusians? econ
I think the word "models" is just too broad. There's a wide range of models, from statistical models that just illustrate relationships in the data without any reference to human action, to theoretical models that start by positing the rational choice framework and works their way up from there--these are explicitly based on human action, but they often make bad assumptions about the humans. And then of course there's everything in between.