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If my life/work was the same, a few hours. As is, when I lose internet now I immediately begin traveling/planning to get internet again.
If I had a big enough library or access to one, and my work wasn’t computer based, I’d probably be okay going several days without.
When I came into bitcoin, when I hadn't done any homework on the tech yet, I briefly "diversified" into eth, zcash, and litecoin.
Have you done one in this series on IREN? There's a guy in pleb lab who is super bullish on them and has been trading their options.
His reasoning: their stock is priced 1:1 to their net asset value, pricing the team's ability to grow the business at $0. Also, they have two drivers of volatility/speculation - bitcoin and AI - so their options market is thick.
There are 3 people in the core SN team. Scoresby, sox, and me. None of us like clankers. We aren't retarded.
I'm happy with SN just being me, Scoresby, and sox hanging out here and discussing random things and doing weird bitcoin stuff if that's all that SN amounts to. Of course, SN is already more than that, and I want SN to grow and I think it will grow, but I have no interest in pretending that SN is growing in the meantime.
Clankers are an attack. Anyone deploying them here, especially in the way where they pretend they are human, are anti-SN.
I think their point is that model providers don’t do a good job of assessing certainty, and can use the probing technique they developed to stop reasoning earlier without losing accuracy.
It’s not necessarily malicious afaict, especially for the open source models they tested. It’s just an oversight or deficiency.
It's how I read it as well, but after you commented I double checked his wording.
I guess Karpathy isn't explicitly saying these jobs are threatened, saying "exposed," but it sure feels like he's implying it.
I remain skeptical of assessments like this. When they're from humans, their reasoning isn't much deeper than how they feel. When they're from the bots, which are kind of like smart and amazing looping parrots, I suspect they struggle to deviate from the mid-best human PoV.
I'd love to find someone thinking more deeply about technology diffusion and how accelerating productivity gains are, eventually, harnessed.
I'm particularly afraid of programmers responding to this like they did the dotcom crash and running for the hills when this all may be short-lived shallow hysteria.
come on man - stop with the chatgpt. use it to translate for you - not think your thoughts for you.