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244 sats \ 16 replies \ @Undisciplined 30 May \ on: Why Polymarket users are betting that Jesus Christ will return crypto
@mega_dreamer, was this on your radar?
😆
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Yes - actually we already run a play money market on this and own bunch of YES shares at 1%. Hoping that the NO holders will get impatient we make money ;)
Do you want this market to be listed on Predyx?
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What would the resolution criteria have to be?
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Resolution Criteria: Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM PT, there is an event widely and credibly recognized as the literal Second Coming of Jesus Christ.
Such recognition must be confirmed by a consensus of credible global news outlets and at least one major world government or international authority. The event must involve a public, global acknowledgment that the individual is in fact Jesus Christ and that his return fulfills the prophetic criteria associated with the Second Coming as traditionally understood in Christian eschatology.
If no such confirmation exists by the stated time, the market will resolve to “No”.
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So, this is only for those acknowledging a first coming, then?
What if only a minority of Christians recognize the second coming, but a majority of non-Christians recognize it as the first coming?
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I think first coming and second coming is just a literal thing. We can add either first coming or second coming in the criteria.
Whats most important is: Such recognition must be confirmed by a consensus of credible global news outlets and at least one major world government or international authority.
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Hmmm, I don’t think that’s it.
It’s based on UMA’s Optimistic Oracle which essentially consists of a vote by UMA token holders.
Definitely a No for the next 6 months, then. Can you imagine what would be required for those conditions to be met?
If He can't sign the PGP key then how do you know it's really Him?
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My understanding is the outcome depends on whether UMA token holders agree that Jesus actually returned?
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