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We want to assess whether Bitcoin holders are in profit or loss in USD terms—and by what margin. To explore this topic, we're releasing a full set of charts. Let’s delve into it!
The first chart is “Coins in Profit or in Loss”, which shows the proportion of Bitcoin UTXOs that are in profit—i.e., coins that were bought at a lower USD price than the current market price—and the proportion of coins that are in loss, also in USD terms. Currently, about 97% of all coins are in profit, while the remaining 3% are in loss.
We can also visualize how much the average holder is in profit or loss. That is, for coins in profit, what’s the average return? And for coins in loss, what’s the average drawdown? Near all-time highs, as is the case now, the average return for coins in profit is 4,170%, while the average loss for coins in loss is around -1%.
Finally, we’ve also implemented the Bitcoin NUPL chart, which addresses the same topic from a different angle. NUPL stands for Net Unrealized Profit/Loss and represents the proportion of the Bitcoin market cap in USD that is currently in profit or loss at any given time. At the moment, approximately 56% of the Bitcoin market cap—around USD 2 trillion—is composed of unrealized profits.
As always, the new data fields are updated hourly and available for direct download in CSV/XLSX formats or in JSON via our API.
That’s all for today—have a great one!
How do you know what price coins were bought at?
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Price at the UTXO creation date.
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Bit of a misnomer than, if I bought BTC at 20k, then send it to myself in a different wallet when the price is 100k. No additional purchase occurred, but a new UTXO is created at that increased price. Then if price drops to 80k, one UTXO is at a profit and one at a loss, instead of both at a profit.
Either way it's still probably the only way to look and get an estimate.
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Yes, definitely — it is an aggregated estimation. It's not an exact number, but as the number of transactions grows, these movements that aren't real buys and sells matter less and less.
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @flat24 14h
A good article ... these are the metric type or data that most people should be about Bitcoin. Not only the price measured in Fiat currency.
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