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31 sats \ 9 replies \ @grayruby 19h
I don't think in 2025. There will probably be a lot of talk about it right after the election but it will be a wait and see kind of thing. If Carney doesn't offer an olive branch to Alberta maybe next year there will be a referendum. Seems unlikely this year.
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Is this something Albertans are prone to?
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There’s a lot of “new” albertans who still identify as Canadian as their primary identity. Need to accelerate in the collapse for them to see the light of independence / 51 state
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I recall from the first time I drove through western Canada that there was a really strong yearning for independence from Ontario, but I didn't sense it at all the most recent time through.
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Probably more rural areas vs city would make a difference
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It was just a different vibe in mostly the same places. Who knows if it's meaningful, but Western Canada seemed pretty different culturally: more like the Pacific Northwest than the Mountain West.
Yes, I feel like currently only 20-30% of the province would vote to leave regardless.
Shit needs to get worse before it gets better
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @398ja 8h
I remember Quebec tried to secede as well, back in the 90's, and if I'm not mistaken, the majority in the rural regions where all for it, but didn't have the numbers to tip the outcome in their favour...
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Quebec succession is more culturally driven. AB succession would be primarily economically driven as the laurentian elite from the eastern provinces have consistently tried to hamstring the oil and gas industry while still taking “transfer payments” from AB to fund their socialist handouts
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Those odds don't seem low enough. I hope so, though.
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Yea probably more like 2-5%
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