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How would I dust attack a target? Send dust to a known address of theirs, then wait for them to spend the dust UTXO along with other UTXOs together in one tx?
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If I think of a target I will let you know!
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But how would I know which address belong to the target unless they've broadcasted it? Which I assume would mean it's a public address for receiving
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Yes.
If you mean with "same xpub" that they have the same owner, yes, pretty much.[1] You now have a foot in the door that is their onchain history.
For example, maybe you're now able to tell where they got this other utxo (or multiple!) from, if they are using multisig via
OP_CHECKMULTISIG, if they will open a lightning channel etc.But afaik, taproot can make all transactions look the same so if you're using taproot addresses, dust attacks might be useless. But not sure. And not many utxos probably use taproot yet. They might pay into a taproot address when spent, but they didn't yet in the past.
Want to try? 👀
I think it's just a (pretty good) heuristic though. ↩