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The U.S. dollar is the global reserve currency and the U.S. Treasury security is the global reserve asset. Conventional explanations suggest that this state of affairs is explained through path dependence following the collapse of Bretton Woods, the absence of a better alternative, and/or the prevalence of invoicing international trade in terms of dollars. These narrowly rational explanations of what I will refer to as the Treasury Standard miss the forest for the trees. In fact, the Treasury Standard is the latest stage of an evolutionary process aimed at financing large-scale, open-ended military conflict that arguably dates back to the Military Revolution. In this paper, I discuss the evolutionary process of the world financial system against the backdrop of this fiscal/military constraint. I then discuss the deliberate policy actions of the U.S., including its control of the international institutions created under the Bretton Woods system, that have brought about this outcome. Finally, I discuss the economic implications of this system and the role that the dollar plays in U.S. foreign policy.
I haven't read this in any detail, but it discusses the results of backing the US dollar with US dollar denominated debt, ie treasuries, ie self-referential magic. If I'm reading the abstract right, it argues we came to this arrangement in an effort to finance war. That is, war is the cause of the Treasury Standard not the effect.
Link is broken? Wonder if they took it down
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Sorry, I removed the GET parameters out of habit.
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Quick persual of the abstract and conclusion, I think this confuses cause and effect. The global monetary order emerged after WW2 when the US was effectively the only military and economic power left because Europe was bombed out.
Matt Pines from BTCPolicy actually made a post last night that has a line summarizing this well:
Historically, security zones demarcate (and underwrite) monetary zones. As the US seeks to shrink and realign the global security zone it's willing to enforce, one might expect the monetary zone to contract and realign accordingly.
I really liked his post because it mentions swap lines which I actually brought up here the other day in the context of off-shore dollar demand: https://x.com/matthew_pines/status/1904325383677227365
Post WW2/Bretton Woods is otherwise known as "Guns for Butter", the dollar is used because its the US that enables trade at all... via the navy making transport of goods possible.
Where the US is facing the reality that we can't cover the expense of being world police, countries either need more dollars to stay in the club or risk their ability to trade. It may seem intuitive that as we step back from being world police our monetary zone contracts accordingly, but it seems less like its contracting and more that the membership fees are going up.
NIIIICE
Yeah, I'm getting to it soon. It's reprinted/an edited chapter in Smolenski's The Satoshi Papers, and I'm almost there :)
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Oh goodie. I bought a copy yesterday.
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Anywhere to buy it with Bitcoin?
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Preeeetty sure you can pay with btc at the Bitcoin Magazine store https://store.bitcoinmagazine.com/collections/books/products/the-satoshi-papers-paperback
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Desire for financing war is the cause. Realized war is still an effect.
It’s a bit of a chicken-and-egg thing, but more military activity was the desired outcome, even if there is a feedback loop (“self-licking ice cream cone “).
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Desire for financing war is the cause.
Thanks. I was pretty ambiguous there.
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