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40 sats \ 8 replies \ @Undisciplined 18 Mar \ parent \ on: This is bizarre, and maybe you're not worrying as much as you should econ
Should we make a bet on this?
I bet HODLing the equivalent of a house in DC now will buy more than an average DC house, at any point after the Trump presidency.
Obviously, we'd need a cap on that for practical reasons, or the bet would never end. However, if you have to pay the bet and I'm proven wrong later, I'll pay you the winnings.
Does Predyx take requests? @mega_dreamer
Maybe we can bet on the Zillow Price Index in Washington DC after 8 years?
https://www.zillow.com/home-values/41568/washington-dc/
I doubt Predyx wants a bet to go that long though haha
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We can certainly create the long-horizon markets, but there won't be much trader wanting to lock in their fund for so long.
If you can find ways to create derivatives markets for zillow within a year time-frame, we'll list it.
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Good one and they do take requests from stackers and they've made multiple year markets before. I think that would be the longest one yet, though.
My one caveat is that I want the price in bitcoin. Something like "Will the average house in DC cost more Bitcoin in eight years than it does now?" or "Will the average DC house cost more than 8 bitcoin in 8 years?"
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Oooh, I don't think I'd take the other side of that bet if it's priced in Bitcoin though :)
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Then it's not a good buying opportunity. It's just another opportunity to take an economic loss (unless, you're the kind of sicko who wants to live in DC).
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kind of sicko who wants to live in DC
Once upon a time, I might have been such a sicko
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Obviously, my points don't apply to such sickos. It may be a good time for them to buy in DC.
Lets brainstorm on this - I will list it.
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