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30 sats \ 7 replies \ @Undisciplined 10 Mar \ parent \ on: Parent’s Corner: my son, the trilingual preschooler alter_native
I'm not sure they are incentivized to be productive. They're incentivized to be hard-working, but bad incentives misalign effort and productivity.
Yeah, guess we'll see. It's hard to get a good read of what's going on in China, since everyone only sees a small slice of it. My interactions with Chinese, for example, are mainly from academia but that's obviously a highly selected group of people.
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My experience in China is very limited, but it did support the general idea that Chinese people are very entrepreneurial and generally disregard official rules. That's super bullish, but it mostly exists on a fairly low, sole proprietor level. They need more freedom and property rights protections in order to make big transformational productive changes.
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My main worry about China as an adversary is that they know how to build things and they know how to do it well. THis is human capital that we've forgotten. Maybe their society is organized in a way that can't flourish in the long run, but in a war that productive capacity and human capital is very dangerous.
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A real war with China can't happen, for the same reason that a real war with Russia can't: it would kill everyone.
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Let's pray that you're correct.
I won't feel safe til 2077, which is the date when Fallout predicts the nuclear war between China and US
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Shouldn't you feel safe until 2077?