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danggggggg I did not have him remotely near that number lol! I do get what you said though with a good season. Looking at his career his war is
2019 - 2.1 2020 - 0.6 2021 - 6.7 2022 - 4.0 2023 - 2.0 2024 - 6.2
I figure he can have a war of 4.5ish and he could make $400 mil but if he regresses like he seems to do... very up and down career looking at it... he would need to sign a Bregman type deal
It's a fair point. He has been inconsistent. He has had a couple years where he is playing at a near MVP level but a couple years where he was just an above average player.
It's a risk for him. If he has a monster year he will make a boatload but if he has a bad season or gets hurt he might not even hit that 350M the Jays offered him.
He will get 500M in FA if he has another great year this year.
I think it is far too much but top end young talent is getting paid a fortune.
I think the variance between him and Jays is quite wide. He wants 450M and they were offering 350M. So unless he has a bad year 450M will be the starting point and if a few big spenders get in a bidding war I could see it reaching 500M.