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From what I have heard.... I have not seen or read this anywhere but it is the rumor in DC the 75k was more than they were expecting. The people that also took it were those who were out of their probationary period and those people are so so so hard to fire. Even if you completely crap the bed a lot of careers are just unfireable and they are "reassigned" to analysts and essentially just sit there and do nothing.
It's true that they're hard to fire, but they do change jobs at a rate of somewhere between 2-6%, from what I've seen. I doubt many people took it who weren't going to leave anyway.
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When you add on the freeze and the probationary people (typically 1 to 2 years) being fired it does cause a pretty significant hit to a pipeline to backfill the positions
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