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70 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 20h \ on: Have you heard of the fourth turning? culture
I've also had trouble pinning down exactly where we are supposed to be in the cycle. For one thing, it's a generational theory, so longer generations should mean longer cycles.
Basically, we have major turning points in American history around 1780, 1860, and 1940, so 2020 would be roughly the expected year of shit hitting the fan.
I also try to think through the whole "Hard times, create strong men. Strong men create..." thing.
If we lengthen
10's and 20's: Weak men creating hard times
30's and 40's: Hard times creating strong men
50's and 60's: Strong men creating good times
70's and 80's: Good times creating weak men
90's and 00's: Weak men creating hard times
10's and 20's: Hard times creating strong men
Does that seem right? It kind of fits, if you squint and don't overanalyze it.
If so, we're about to have a generation of "strong men" creating "good times". That feels believable and might imply that we are those men and bitcoin will usher in those "good times".
I see it as a useful framework for understanding historical patterns, remembering it's not going to be exactly as it was before.
But using your modelling of 10s & 20s
30s & 40s definitely gonna be lit
And obviously I didn't labour the point enough but Bitcoin will be that disruptor of money, I think it's time machine as Satoshi brilliantly invented, is set to do what it does.
What we're seeing now, which is quite astonishing is the rate of AI expansion, that could also be like feeding the gremlins after midnight
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