I expect the Jays to be better than last year. That bullpen was abysmal. It can't possibly be that bad again and the first half of the season the "timely hitting" was embarrassingly bad. It improved in the second half but it was too late by then and they had already traded some pieces away.

One could argue the Jays have a lot of hitters with glaring weaknesses that pitchers can exploit in key situations and I think that is fair, but I think we still get some progression to the mean in terms of hitting with runners on base/in scoring position/key moments etc.

Mentally I am placing the Jays as a .500 team and wrestling with the homeless Rays for 4th/5th in the East but hopefully I will be pleasantly surprised and the run prevention focus will finally pay off.