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171 sats \ 2 replies \ @south_korea_ln 8 Jan \ on: Earth shattered heat records in 2023 and 2024: is global warming speeding up? science
What I would like is a way to be able to assess a climate scientist's ability at
- doing good math
- having a deep understanding of statistics
- assessing the limitations of a specific model
- quantifying the impact a certain simplification may have on the model
- double-checking their student's calculation results
- ...
In my own field, which is quite theoretical and does not have a big impact on policy decisions, I am fairly able to do that. In the field, we know who are the people to trust and who are the ones that are just good marketers and will do anything to raise funds. I also know it's possible to tune the parameters of the models and theories used in my field to make it say whatever I want it to say. Also, I know that we all somehow trust whatever calculation a student or postdoc has carried as the cost to reproduce the calculations is not worth it.
I'm sure there are good and bad climate scientists too, but I don't know their relative proportion, and so it's hard to judge the outcome of any of these types of studies.
I do believe in climate change, but I wish I could find a way to be better informed and assess the level of confidence I can have in that belief.
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I do believe in climate change, but I wish I could find a way to be better informed and assess the level of confidence I can have in that belief.
I agree 💯. This is very problematic. You can't get everyone saying the same thing, the foundation of science lies on proof but climate science is running it on assumptions.
They see a rise in temperatures, they go tto ocean, mountains, plains and everywhere and start studying what's causing it. The outcome is different assumptions to why it's increased/increasing.
For my faith, I believe that climate change is real but the cause is not anything except the deforestation.
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