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Is this for an AI query? Or is it something like a Delphi poll?
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Yes, it is a kind of one-run Delphi poll. Delphi polls usually run two or three or more runs where the people being polled are given the information of the results and who the experts in the poll were and asked to guess again to refine the accuracy of the poll. They are remarkably accurate.
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Looks great ahaha
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Pls let me know if this looks ok:
Market Question:
Is the current bird flu strain man-made?
Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to YES if credible, peer-reviewed publications or official statements confirm that the circulating strain clade 2.3.4.4b of bird flu resulted from gain-of-function research conducted at the USDA Poultry Research Laboratory in Athens, Georgia.
Sources: