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I feel like they will deny to stay the injunction. I'm biased and believe the government’s arguments are weak.
That said, I also believe that, given the timeframe, the harm the court would do leaving only a few days for millions of entities to comply is substantial. And the plaintiffs are likely to make that argument in detail.
So I’m feeling that they will not lift the injunction, or will order it lifted in a delayed manner (like on 1/15).
Makes sense. The scrambling at the deadline argument is a good one.
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