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advanced quantum computers might theoretically be able to derive private keys from public keys in the mempool before miners confirm transactions, (still wondering if it is even possible), the real question is: would it be worth it? The energy costs would be enormous, making it economically unfeasible. I believe there's an important distinction between what's technically possible and what's likely to actually happen in practice.
Pay to public key coins, pay to taproot coins and reused addresses wouldn't need to be in the mempool.
And a 10,000 coin utxo is ~$1B today. Breaking one of those keys and also buying a bunch of put options could make it worth the cost.
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