pull down to refresh
100 sats \ 3 replies \ @ek 5 Dec \ on: Trying to gain rough technical consensus on covenant proposals bitcoin
@mega_dreamer, prediction markets about bitcoin soft fork activations would also be cool 👀
Prediction markets are probably not a good idea to exclusively rely upon for consensus, but could be one of many metrics to measure consensus.
Sounds like a great idea to consolidate crowd/group think. We will add these markets. Which ones do you want to see first?
reply
Do you support prediction markets with many possible outcomes instead of just Yes and No? If so, just one which asks "Which bitcoin soft fork will be activated first?" could be enough and the soft forks in the link are the options.
However, maybe multiple soft forks will get activated at once and I think a prediction markets needs to have exactly one final outcome 🤔
reply
Actually, we just launched the Multiple Option today: #795358
Yes, you're right about the one final outcome for multi-option market. I think this usecase is maybe for set markets. That will take at-least 3-4 weeks. We're already working on it.
reply