Of all the talked-about risk vectors, which bother you the most?
Most people say the quantum computing thing, but everything, including all banks would be toast then anyway, plus bitcoin can be upgraded with quantum-proof algos.
I think the one that seems possible to me is some scenario where the gov wants to control it and uses the etfs to do a fork and we have a fork war again. Maybe this would amount to nothing, it would be very negative though , i can only imagine the fud
another one would be maybe the consolidation of mining, or even lightning node runners.
finally, i think apathy and maybe general nihilism on the part of generation TikTok leading to reduced interest and network effects, then again, fiat world and inflation will at some point get so bad that it should lead to more of an awakening.
What do you guys think?
Two biggest risk factors are:
(a) A major custodian (like Coinbase) is hacked. This could produce such a backlash that Wallstreet + Regulators came out and said: "Digital Assets are inherently incapable of being properly held securely in custody accounts" and that would effectively end most official support for it.
(b) Future code updates introduces a critical catastrophic bug that is exploited - imagine millions of coins either permanently lost or stolen. While this could possibly be mitigated via a variety of different ways, it may set back public adoption by a few decades.
apparently 98% of CB customer funds are stored in offline, geographically distributed cold wallets, which are disconnected from the internet
the liquidity stuff in hot wallets is insured, to a point, so i don't think that would be super catasropihc
Xapo
Coinbase purchased Xapo cold storage a few years ago
Exactly. Its xapo custody.
Back in the day Xapo was buying old military missile silos (I think) that they were using as their off-grid key storage facilities.
Yes, but internet is not required. You just need enough insider employees who can coordinate their efforts in non-detectable ways.
My guess is Coinbase and MSTR and others such as bitgo have catastrophic insurance
There's no risk to bitcoin that isn't also a risk of new and likely violent dark ages. The only question is how much influence are people willing to pursue that timeline wielding?
Technical nits are ego driven virtue signals at this stage, few can accept that Bitcoin's destiny is well-beyond the control of advocates and developers.
Fear and distrust of government is justified, but the framing is naive to ignore what levers an evil (or simply self-interested) government has already chosen not to pull.
TLDR; technical and cultural risks are illusory, it's in the hands of game theory.
wrench attacks against the kids and grandkids of the OG class
Home invasion and a zero day bug that renders the network obsolete
if i had the fiat equivalent of serious money, i would just spread it over different hardware wallets, then if someone busted in, hand over access to a dummy wallet with a few Gs in it
$5 Wrench
For Europe, a bad threat is still missing: ECB is progressing rapidly with their CBDC, the digital Euro. Over time, the technical capabilities and their political pull will allow them the de-monetise all Bitcoin on/off ramps in Europe, just like European banks have started to de-bank the accounts of bitcoiners and companies involved in bitcoin, on grounds of extreme bureaucratic overhead with any transaction even smelling of bitcoin. Sooner or later, the ECB will want to use this power to secure their Euro monopoly in Europe.
The ecb is shuch a pile or shit that this one doesn't bother me too much,. while true, there is still no way they have of stopping p2p bitcoin buying and selling, they also have no way of working for btc directly and i think, really, at some point, they will just piss off enough powerful and wealthy hodlers to exit euopre
Miner centralization. A few companies controlling hashrate is a threat that concerns me. Which is already a problem. Just hoping the problem improves as more people adopt bitcoin.
normies being zombies and govs not being honest - can't see this changing any time ever lol
the one great work is to keep tabs on events and show them to anyone willing to look, while staying alive to show them, by any means necessary
Zero
Oh that's easy. My biggest fear is that I'm too uneducated on the subject to even see a threat coming.
Bitcoin is an octopus with many tentacles. The more I learn, the more I realize that I don't know shit.
Non, really. We need to take precautions, though. Self custody and privacy are paramount, IMO.