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Today within a few hours we have been hit with a lot of shocking news out of South Korea. First, the news broke that South Korea’s President declared martial law, then we heard Parliament vote to undo martial law, then the South Korean military said they would enforce it until the President lifted it before finally,y the President announced he was lifting the order. It was a hell of a day in DC with all of this going on as no one even had an inkling that this might occur.
While several people have been posting about this and the developments around this I want to look at South Korea’s more recent history and why this move has caused a ton of flashbacks to a dark period in their history. South Korea is a well know and respected democracy but it was not that long ago South Korea was not a democracy in the slightest. From the 1960s after the Korean War through till 1981 encompassed the Third and Fourth Republics of Korea.
In May 1961 the first coup took place and the Second Republic of Korea was replaced with the Supreme Council for National Reconstruction, a military junta, which lasted until December 1963. The Supreme Council was dissolved as soon as the Third Republic of Korea was inaugurated after the 1963 presidential election. The leader of the Supreme Council, Park Chung Hee, was elected as president and it was presented to the world as a return to civilian government but it was a rebranding of the Supreme Council.
The Third Republic was dissolved in a self-coup by Park Chung Hee in 1972 as he decided the country needed a new constitution with the approval of the Yusin Constitution creating the Fourth Republic of Korea. When the self-coup was launched as you would imagine martial law was declared across the country leading to censorship and freedoms being severely restricted. The Yusin Constitution codified dictatorial power held by President Park Chung Hee and created a centralized authoritarian system called the Yushin System which lasted until 1979.
On October 26, 1979, during a dinner at the Korean Central Intelligence Agency in Seoul President Park Chung Hee was assassinated. This was the first successful assassination for a head of state in either South Korea or Korea in 605 years. The assassin was Kim Jae-gyu the director of the KCIA and the President's security chief. What kickstarted this chain of events was that in the 1978 South Korean legislative election while Park’s Party the DRP maintained the majority over a rival party the NDP won the popular vote by a narrow margin. Courts then got involved and nullified the chairman of the NDP, Kim Young-sam and Park’s Party in the majority expelled Kim Young-sam from the National Assembly. This led to all members of the NDP, Kim Young-sam party, to submit their resignation causing protests to start to break out in Korea and US President Carter to recall its ambassador from Seoul in protest. After KCIA director Kim Jae-gyu went to Busan to investigate personally the demonstrations he found they were not riots by college students but a popular uprising that included everyone. When he went to President Park to tell him that this was going to spread to larger cities Kim Jae-gyu’s rival Cha Ji-chul cited to Park the Killing Fields in Cambodia noting that one or two million Koreas being killed wouldn’t make much difference and Park agreed. If it came to it he was going to give direct orders to security forces to fire on demonstrators.
Kim Jae-gyu and Cha Ji-chul had an intense rivalry and even though the KCIA was supposed to be the most terrifying organization in South Korea Cha Ji-chul gained the President’s confidence and gain vast power including mocking KCIA Director Kim Jae-gyu in public. On October 26, 1979, the day of the assassination, Cha Ji-chul once more publicly embarrassed Kim Jae-gyu and during a subsequent banquet that evening after again dealing with rebukes from President Park and Cha Ji-chul Kim Jae-gyu had a mental switch flip and within about an hour and half he had managed to not only gather a group of 6 others to pull off the assassination. Within just a few minutes six people died including Cha Ji-chul who was shot in the abdomen and bled out and President Park who was first shot in the chest twice before the gun Kim Jae-gyu jammed and he went and got another finishing off the President with a shot to the head execution style. Of the seven perpetrators, one was killed by firing squad while five were hung including Kim Jae-gyu, and one was sentenced to death before it was commuted to life and then a few days later he was released.
While President Park was an awful dictator after his assassination political stability was a huge issue with his successor Choi Kyu-hah implanting martial law which continued after the coup d’etat attempted by Chun Doo-hwan, his first attempt failed and began the armed suppression of the Gwangju Uprising against martial law but his second was successful and established a military dictatorship which elected him, Chun Doo-hwan, as President with the Fourth Republic dissolved with the implementation of a new constitution on March 1981 creating the Fifth Republic of Korea.
The Fifth Republic was ruled by Chun and his Democratic Justice Pary creating a de facto dictatorship and one-party system but due to the outrage over Chun’s reaction to the Gwangju Uprising and resulting killings democracy momentum built. Chun dismantled some high centralized by Park and released some political prisoners throughout the 80s and started rolling back some of the martial law rules until it was finally lifted in 1987. South Korea spent over twenty-five years in martial law under the various dictatorships that led to many deaths at the hands of the military and police.
These events are less than 40 years ago which means a ton of the population either directly suffered from the regimes or were raised with stories about how just a few years ago they did not have these freedoms. South Korean society is extremely sensitive to the loss of rights given how far they have come which is why the move by the President not only was a terrible choice but opened up old wounds with many of the citizens.
@south_korea_ln I hope I did some justice with SK history! If there is anything wrong here please let me know and I will address it!
Not my area of expertise, but seems mostly accurate.
While President Park was an awful dictator
Maybe a small comment regarding this. He was a dictator, indeed, but he was also quite popular with quite some people. Not everyone thought he was awful. The economy grew a lot during his reign. Some people speculate his daughter Park Geun-hye got elected because older people believed she would cause similar economic growth during her time in office. Well, we know this is not how things turned out, with her impeachment in 2016.
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I did see he was extremely popular in the beginning but after a decade or so he started to fall off, the 1970s seemed to slowly but steadily degrade his standing.
I totally forgot about his daughter but I do vaguely remember that... Almost like the current President of the Philippians Marcos whose dad was that ruthless dictator decades ago...
Edit turns out Marcos and the South Korean martial law stuff overlap quite a bit as he ruled the Philippians from 1972 to 1981 under martial law and was President of the Philippians from 1965 to 1986
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I’m impressed. Did you study AP History in high school?
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Yep! AP World, AP American, AP Gov, AP Ethics, and I briefly did AP Art History but honestly that was just… it was a no lol!
I LOVE history I mean if I could have made a living studying ancient Mesoamerica I would have! When I started pivoting down the gov pass I'm on now I realized I needed to learn about other places.
From learning about recent history in India and its dynamics with its neighbors to how Taiwan is only recently a democracy and how last week I was learning about how Singapore came to be! I love learning which is why my government job is perfect!
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I look forward to reading more of your History posts. Your stream of consciousness makes it a delight to read
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I tend to mix in history with my political posts just because well like this one deals with the political history of a country so fyi!
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You should do some Mesoamerica posts. That's always been one of my areas of fascination, too.
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17 sats \ 0 replies \ @Cje95 OP 10h
The culture is just so rich and we are learning so much about it right now! LiDAR has really sped up the discovery of lost cities!
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @Shugard 20h
Man, that's not a quick dive! This is a great service from you to help us understand the situation much better! Thanks for your service!
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21 sats \ 0 replies \ @Cje95 OP 20h
Honestly I love history so I knew about a ton of it and then to make sure I wasn't misremembering I just checked with Google! That was the time consuming part was checking the names on Google 😂
It's a really wild and unique situation one that while they might be a democratic success story now 40 years ago they weren't and it is a testament to what can be done by a population who wants something!
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10 sats \ 1 reply \ @B_rian 22h
Thanks for the knowledge. Are you on nostr @Cje95?
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So to be completely honest I'm still not 100% sure what Nostr is 😂 @cryotosensei recruited me here from Publish0x and while Ive gotten situated here I haven't really looked into Nostr!
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11 sats \ 1 reply \ @Cje95 OP 4 Dec
@DesertDave its a long read but it is pretty important historically to understand how and why what happened in South Korea is so ground shaking
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Definitely fits better here. Thanks for sharing regardless.
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Can you comment on the more recent history?
I saw someone posting about how many of the recent presidents have been impeached and/or incarcerated, as well. In totality, it paints more of a banana republic picture than western style democracy.
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44 sats \ 0 replies \ @Cje95 OP 10h
Yeah I can work on cooking one up! I will need to do more research though but will let you know when I hash one out and post it!
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How is Kim Johng un Involved in this mess?
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Uhh if you mean Kim Il Sung the founder of North Korea then martial law was used to "stabilize" and prevent the North from invading. Though it isn't clear or likely that they would have anyways it was done as a preventive measure
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S.Korea is very much a monetary and military tribute state to the USA, and stands literally on the front line of the war that never ended between China and USA. Now that China is attacking western allies via its military proxies and dependents Iran and Russia, S.Korea faces a challenging future. After Taiwan, reunification of Korea would be a high priority for the rising Chinese super power.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Cje95 OP 20h
Who is China’s proxy?! Are you really going to claim Russia? The Houthis have hit more Chinese ships than Western. North Korea and China are not pleased because well North Korea is trying to break the bond with China and go toward Russia but it won't last.
I can only assume you are not aware of the reason for a Taiwan invasion… the ASML machines but well it is public knowledge they are rigged to blow via dead man switches it China invades thus erasing the one gain it could get.
You talked about US brute strength but then Korean unification? Approx 28.5k US soldiers in South Korea. How on Gods green earth do you think the North or China would attack and miss them since they are located at the critical sites?
China is collapsing because its population is already falling and they realllyyyy fucked up with 40+ years of one child. Cultural norms meant females were either killed, abandoned, or adopted into Western countries. You can't fix that stuff fast it will take several decades at least.
Also for better or worse if China, Russia, Iran, etc were so good people would immigrate there. They don't and its why we have people from India coming in via Canada and people from Africa and the Middle East coming in via Mexico. If your life was going to be hell you wouldn't risk your life and come but people continue to from all parts of the world and that should tell you something.
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Russia is totally dependent upon China now- to buy its oil and gas and to supply it with manufactured goods it cannot produce itself. Can you name any Chinese ships the Houthis have seriously damaged? The Chinese are very serious about maintaining plausible deniability- they have learned from the CIA. Microchip manufacturing is one reason for reunification with Taiwan no doubt but certainly not the only one. If as you claim the machinery self destructs upon invasion then the west loses that production too. Note- steel works in the east of Ukraine supply 95% of the high purity neon gas required for the highest quality lasers used in microchip manufacture... China is not collapsing- it has enjoyed decades of growing trade surpluses...something no western countries can claim. Name one country that can afford not to trade with China without losing significant economic advantage- just one? SILENCE! China has won the trade war- it pays more for commodities and converts them into manufactured goods more effectively and efficiently than the west can...and that advantage is not easy to reverse and will be impossible to reverse if China succeeds in reverse engineering the monetary hegemony that remains the last real strategic advantage of the already insolvent USA.
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With the two Koreas still technically at war, at least under ceasefire, and with Chinas now alliance including Iran, N.Korea and Russia, S.Korea faces an uncertain future. If Trump cedes Ukraine territory to his war criminal friend Putin the Chinese Axis powers will be emboldened and USA will be clearly in retreat. China would advance plans to regain control over Taiwan and N.Korea would want to regain control over S.Korea. Many US voters did not perhaps realise that voting for Trump is opening the door to the advance of the Chinese Axis Powers and their territorial ambitions.
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Russia has not only gotten its ass kicked in Ukraine but now they are running in Syria. That whole country is only afloat because of the war and while people like to point out how they have a low debt-to-GDP ratio well they can't raise any debt so that's kinda how you pull that off!
Iran has seen its proxies get murked across the board. Trump hates them and will give Israel everything he can to prevent issues with Iran.
North Korea is consistently starving to death and let's not forget the Russian Mail bloggers who are pissed at Russia and North Korea over not only how they are getting better treatment but also the people have full access to the internet for once and found porn lmao.
That leaves us with China which is staring down a hidden debt bomb with its local and provincial governments that is estimated to be in the trillions. While the US has some segments that could be linked to being similar the US economy keeps moving forward and the same cannot be said about China.
Do they have ambitions to break free? Yes, are they capable at all of it right now? Not in the slightest. Russia in particular is in a freefall and if Assad falls in Syria they lose their only warm water port. That port and base is required for their operations in Africa and the Middle East if it goes away their old-school logistics will fall apart much like we have seen in Ukraine. Russia can't keep up the meat grinder assaults and finally, Russian mail bloggers are saying how bad it has gotten and how they are running out of people. North Korea won't allow it because it would look so so bad.
First Ukraine took out so much of Russia and now Israel dismantled not only Hamas but Hezzbloah, Houthi's and even the country of Iran itself. Iran lost a heck of a lot more than people realize and one of their nuclear sites was erased. They thought no one knew about this specific site and funny enough Israel hit it because the US only used the publically known list of sites.
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Agree Russia and Iran have been hit hard but at what cost to the US and its allies? Huge. At the same time China gets discounted oil and gas from Iran and Russia and guaranteed sales of multiple manufactured goods to Iran and Russia. The wars have cemented Iran and Russias dependence upon China. The wars have also amply demonstrated that you can be sanctioned by the west but you can still maintain a functional economy via China buying your exports and providing you with the manufactured goods you cannot yourself produce. China and its military proxy allies now demonstrate independence from the SWIFT USD hegemony is already possible. The wars have provided testing for both Russian and Iranian military technology and undoubtedly improvements will be in the pipeline if not already in production. Russia is now forced to supply China with whatever China wants- including Russian nuclear submarine technology. N.Korea and Iran have both in turn profited from Russias invasion of Ukraine and if Trump cedes territory to Russia all the Chinese Axis nations will see this as victory and they will be encouraged to further their territorial expansion. The USA is on the back foot because China has won the trade war and dominates global trade in manufactured goods and increasingly the US/West cannot compete on such high value markets as EVs and energy technology. The USA cannot afford to sanction China directly as this would collapse some of the largest US corporates. The US still has a lead on brute force military but cannot employ it directly and as China gains ground on multiple fronts including non SWIFT trade payments the position of the US and its military and monetary tributes such as Japan, the EU, the UK and S.Korea becomes weaker. If one more large oil producer moves to payment in Yuan, the (already insolvent) USD hegemony empire will be over very swiftly.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Cje95 OP 20h
I'm going to follow up on this tomorrow cause its 11:45 here in DC but I want to drop a few things...
  1. China has begun cutting off Russia Chinese banks under CCP direction are avoiding Russia now because of the SWIFT sanctions which you mention. That's why they went to North Korea I mean lets be honest does Noeth Korea scream the best military weapons? No they are very outdated.
  2. Of course Iran and Russian weapons will improve so will Noeth Korea it would be wild if they didn't I mean literally in battle you learn what works or not. Its why so many small to midsize Western military companies give Ukraine their weapons/tech because bam it works. Look at AeroVironment if you want a publically traded company and the VAMPIRE System if you want a DARPA project.
  3. Neither Russia nor Iran have a functional economy and Russian sources that are huge on X and Russian Media have said now they cannot afford for the war to end because the economy is so messed up. Look at the price of butter and the fact they have to put freaking basic security chips in butter to prevent theifs
  4. Iran and NK might be up now but what in 6 months? Russia is running out of reserves located in their country and the 100 of billions they have in the West well has been going to Ukraine now.
  5. Look up the Chinese/BYD EV graveyards. China has pumped up BYD but they mothballs them immediately.
  6. China and Russia face a population cliff and history has shown when this happens leaders try to make the last hurrah moment which we are seeing with Russia.
  7. BRICS isn't going to work. Do you really think those countries can come to an agreement on whose in control and gets to set the pegs? No that's just a stupid idea and its why it has never worked before and a single country and currency reign supreme. At the end of the day what backs the USD is pure military might and China isn't in the ballpark. Lets not forget the purge they didn't earlier this year when they found out a bunch of their missiles in silos were filled with water and not fuel because the soldiers used the fuel to cook food.
  8. The US is by far leading energy innovation we did sodium nuclear reactors which China claims is brand new in the 1950’s. Energy innovation look at heat pumps and Fervo Energy. That's innovation China isn't in the ballpark. Nor does China have a clue about sustainable aviation fuel which US and other Western companies have produced for years.
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1- selectively yes to maintain appearances but at the same time using Hong Kong banks to route funds into the USD SWIFT system on behalf of Iran and Russia. 2-Yes and so the Chinese Axis are testing their capability up against those of the west- this is only the beginning of WW3. 3-Iran and Russia do still have economies capable of supporting major military operations against the west. Their citizens might not all be living well but that is beside the point- both Iran and Russia are effective military proxies for China and its challenge to the US western imperialism. 4-Russia and China have just opened a second massive pipeline via which Russia can pump more black gold into the veins of China. Sure the sales are at a discount to global prices but Russia still has a steady flow of income all the same...and Chinas economy gets discounted fuel. 5-BYD can produce batteries equivalent to Teslas but at half the price. Without Trumps Tariffs Musks Tesla is facing disaster. In the long term Chinas dominance over EVs, batteries, PVs, and other energy efficiency technology and manufacturing is overwhelming since this was made a priority in the early 2000s. The US economy remains hugely bloated, inefficient and dependent upon ruinous fracking. 6- Chinas economy is moving up the scale of development from crude manufacturing to higher and higher value added technology such as the EVs, robotics, aerospace, nanotech, biotech and energy related areas such as solar, batteries, nuclear, wind and hydro. 7- BRICS Pay will adopt the Chinese CBDC eYuan as its base protocol. It is a long game shifting payments from the legacy USD SWIFT banking system and traditional allies of the US will stay on the old analogue SWIFT protocol a while longer but the truth is all nations gain by trading with China where very few actually gain from trade with USA. China has won the trade war- it offers commodities producers and buyers of manufactured goods a better deal- pure and simple. 8-See 5 above. In summary the US is obese bloated and hugely inefficient in its use of energy.
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