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We dive into why my success predicting sports is inversely proportional to how much I know about them.
Is it luck or hubris?
To support the luck case, I'd like to submit my recent NFL and NBA misses on Ember (which is a really fun app):
  • OKC favored and lost a one score game
  • Heat favored and lost a one score game
  • Celtics favored and lost a one score game
  • Cardinals led the entire game before losing a one score game
  • Raiders botched snap/bizarre officiating lost them a one score game
  • Cavs losing to the Hawks twice cost me two 4-team parlays
I'm actually doing alright overall on there, but those losses were brutal. I've only had two other misses and both were underdogs I thought would lose, but who I wanted to take a swing on.
80 sats \ 1 reply \ @Satosora 2 Dec
Which one is the one who bets on them? Are you ahead?
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I am ahead overall, but on NBA and NFL I'm a little bit underwater. Those are the two sports I actually follow closely.
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