We dive into why my success predicting sports is inversely proportional to how much I know about them.
Is it luck or hubris?
To support the luck case, I'd like to submit my recent NFL and NBA misses on Ember (which is a really fun app):
- OKC favored and lost a one score game
- Heat favored and lost a one score game
- Celtics favored and lost a one score game
- Cardinals led the entire game before losing a one score game
- Raiders botched snap/bizarre officiating lost them a one score game
- Cavs losing to the Hawks twice cost me two 4-team parlays
I'm actually doing alright overall on there, but those losses were brutal. I've only had two other misses and both were underdogs I thought would lose, but who I wanted to take a swing on.