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In other words, those who are diminished by the proposed reforms will resist with all their might, while those who might benefit are lukewarm in their support because the benefits of the reform are not yet in hand. Put another way, one person's efficiency reform is the loss of a livelihood / gravy train to another, and the gains of the proposed efficiency are 1) in the future, while the livelihood is threatened in the present, and 2) the gains of the efficiency are disbursed over the entire populace, so that the recipients of the reform have little incentive to fight tooth and nail like those defending their slice of the status quo pie.
This presents the transformational leader with a difficult choice of strategy: the first option--to attempt a wholesale transformation of the status quo in a Big Bang reformation of every agency and institution's budget, leadership and culture--is tempting, as the political capital of the new leadership is strongest at the start, before its opponents have had time to chip away at the new administration's support.
The second option is to choose one or two critical reforms and devote every ounce of political capital to pushing these through. This option is less grandiose, more cautious, but it's also the one most likely to succeed, as the risk in Option 1 (The Big Bang blitzkrieg) is that the political capital of the reformers will be diluted by engaging the armies of opposition that will arise in every threatened agency and institution.
I guess we will be seeing which course Trump will be taking. It looks like, to me, he is going for the Big Bang.
The Big Bang blitzkrieg
This is the only true option, as Milei demonstrated. Any half-way course, far from being "the one most likely to succeed", is unavoidably doomed to failure, which is a critical error the author makes leading to a false dichotomy. There's no dichotomy. It's all or nothing. Blitzkrieg or doom.
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Agreed, Trump has to get the job done in one fell swoop. He may not get a chance at a second bite of the apple. Day1 - all the firings and EOs should be done. Installing the new people on that day, also. Fire all of the top military brass “resistors” and recent appointees. Day -2 work Musk and Ramaswamy’s recommendations to the maximum. Start the drilling. Start the tariffs. Start the regulation torching.
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Start the tariffs
You lost me here. You mean to rise tax on imports?
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Yes, they are technically called tariffs.
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That would have devastating consequences for the US. I'm sure Trump blandishes that only as a mean of negotiation against China and the like. But if actually put into practice, the US will go down straight into a severe recession. That's precisely the protectionism that crippled Argentina's economy for decades, and the solution out of the crisis and into economic prosperity is to take tariffs down.
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Yes, that is what the Austrians say. But, theoretically, the whole world would have to drop tariffs to make free trade work. I don’t see that happening at any time. Too many countries prefer to do protectionism. Yes, we could drop our tariffs and try to freely trade, but what are we making lately that people want? I would say nothing that they want because who wants tanks, bombs and other weapons? Only thieving states want them.