Well, markets can't talk and therefore we don't know what the market is actually pricing in with this gap for sure.

I can't think of many other reasons other than assassination. After two assassination attempts ... what else could it be?

So that's just my best guess. As I already said: the stepping down or medical incident reasons are probably close to zero. What else is there?

zuspotirko

Politics_And_Law

Markets are pricing in a 1/20 chance Trump will be assasinated before Jan 20th

> I might have invented the assassination part for clickbait reasons

How would you feel when you click on this and you see something completely different? Heavy downzap for this.

> but there are not many other possibilities for Trump to not get inaugurated.

Stating personal conclusions as some kind of fact is a classic clickbait, arguing why your personal conclusion might make sense doesn't make your clickbait better